How long do you think widespread social distancing measures will be used to reduce COVID-19's impact on public health systems?
I think that’s a bit fast. Isn’t it more like every 5 days? And R0 will come down w social distancing measures
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I'm struggling to find a solid number on case doubling rate. Agree with you about spread factor. To me, until we get past the peak, distancing should continue. Using your numbers I'd have voted 3-4 quarters.
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Just to be clear, my worry is that a lot of people won't take social distancing to heart until it things have already gotten pretty bad.
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Here's a more informed forecast:https://twitter.com/LizSpecht/status/1236095180459003909?s=19 …
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