.@fredwilson on Coronavirus: “I think we should prepare ourselves for Coronavirus to be like the flu. It will be everywhere, including the US, and many of us will get it.”
https://avc.com/2020/02/some-thoughts-on-coronavirus/ …
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Replying to @semil @fredwilson
Flu mortality rate: 0.001% Coronavirus: 1% Big difference when applied to large numbers of people --> very different responses
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I don't think we yet know the Coronavirus mortality rate. Singapore will be interesting as they are documenting all cases and tracking it much more closely. Plus it is a more developed economy. Probably a good model for the US.
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In my home country, Italy is 11 death on 300 infected. That is almost 4%. China was lying as always.
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Probably a lot more infected. Deaths are reported very well. Infections not so much. We need better data before we can make any conclusions
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Replying to @fredwilson @jeitoapp and
The same holds true for the flu. The mortality rate is only for the infections reported. A lot of people don’t go to the doc when they get the flu.
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Replying to @AllieWag @fredwilson and
The diamond princess statistics - 5 dead to date from 700ish detected - all the dead were over 80 - are cause for partial optimism (although not very optimistic for the over 80’s)
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Well that’s still 1 million Americans dying if 40% of the country gets infected.
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @mmullany and
I do think the mortality rate will come down but even over very large amounts of people, aggregate deaths seem devastatingly high.
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @mmullany and
100%. The absolute numbers are tragic
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