.@fredwilson on Coronavirus: “I think we should prepare ourselves for Coronavirus to be like the flu. It will be everywhere, including the US, and many of us will get it.”
https://avc.com/2020/02/some-thoughts-on-coronavirus/ …
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Also R0 is much higher? > 3 compared to less than 2 for the seasonal flu? On the other hand the reality is that it's probably too late to contain the outbreak.
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Compound that plz
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We also have no idea what the long term reprucussions of this disease might be.
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Correct, that was a spectacularly bad take. Also talk of 40-70% infection rates (perhaps more!)... also not the flu
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Even the epidemiologists quoted in this slightly scaremonger-y article yesterday propose it’ll be like the flu. So it’s not an arbitrary Fred take, or a particularly conservative one:https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/02/covid-vaccine/607000/ …
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The flu is pretty serious. 250,000 people have gone to the hospital with the flu this year in just the US alone.
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Yes but the fatality rate for the flu is 200x less at 0.01%. Millions are likely to die from coronavirus over the next year. We are only 2 months from inception. Once it gets in Africa and South America and parts of Middle East (as happening in Iran) , fatalities will skyrocket
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FWIW: 2% was an early estimate from before we found that many have it for a week or two without symptoms (and sometimes never develop symptoms). It’s seeming very unlikely to hold right now.
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We don't know what the mortality rate is yet. The numbers from China are not complete. We will know soon but we don't know yet. Watch the video in my post. The two women from Johns Hopkins are really smart and explain that and a lot more really well
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They may not be full... But what was what was put out yesterday I am guessing they aren’t going to want to report numbers that are worse than they are. Guessing we would have heard a massive squash of this info if they were betterpic.twitter.com/TpoxBj2sSm
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