the office space is probably still going to get built regionally, just in South SF or Oakland. SF voters want to keep their property taxes low, have their home equity double every 10 years and make new people pay for maintaining their existing service levels. They love ice cream.
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Replying to @kimmaicutler
those cities could tie office space buildout to housing buildout (imo overall, not affordable)? And/or funding for public transit? Then you have a chance at dense, vibrant, urban, good job / good culture growth in South SF / Oakland*? * need to dodge gentrification dystopia
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Replying to @jhscott @kimmaicutler
If SF wants to turn itself into Atherton that's like... yuck.. but at least it doesn't contribute to worsening Bay Bridge traffic & etc?
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Replying to @jhscott
it's a false choice they're presenting. They're presenting it like -- as soon as we build the affordable housing -- we'll allow office. But the only kinds of affordable housing funding that voters support are the kinds where they don't have to pay for it themselves so there's
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @jhscott
structurally never enough affordable housing funding. In fact the affordable housing funding that the city generates is structurally dependent on having a hot real estate market bc it's tied to new construction or
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @jhscott
it's dependent on property values rising so much that assessments on recently resold property ensure that no pre-existing property owners have to experience property tax increases if they vote for an affordable housing bond.
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @jhscott
SF is turning itself into Atherton plus a cohort of orgs that are able to wrest some nominal concessions for a token amount of low or very-low-income deed restricted units. If you're not part of one of those two buckets, you can't really live here long-term.
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Replying to @kimmaicutler
My viewpoint is certainly colored by living in the east bay... while I don't think I disagree (much? at all?), I think my primary interest is ways in which externalities for these unfortunate decisions can be limited. SF making decisions that preclude outside-bucket residents
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Replying to @jhscott @kimmaicutler
is one thing, cascading failure where that impacts the whole metro is another.
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Replying to @jhscott @kimmaicutler
Maybe SF's failures will inspire Oakland / ... to experiment with more density, public transit, etc. Not holding my breath (and probably ignorant enough to be overly optimistic) but that's basically my hope.
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Politically, Oakland is more open to housing and density for now given that it's 1.7X the area with half the population and it needs to grow its tax base since it doesn't have enough funding to keep schools open....
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