This is no joke. There will be 75 mph gusts of dry, hot air up in the Sierra foothills for like an 18-36 hr period with with humidity in the 4-20% range. In some parts of CA, it’s statistically a 1 in 10 year wind event. Even SF will have 35 mph wind gusts by the afternoon Th.
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @Austen
So what you're saying is that pg&e is unprepared for something that's expected to happen every 10 years? So much so that they have to stop providing essential services?
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Replying to @deapthoughts @Austen
It’s a combination of a 1 in 10 year wind event + an unprecedented fuel load across the state caused in part by climate change.https://www.sfchronicle.com/california-wildfires/article/Report-Drought-s-end-slowed-California-s-13607328.php …
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Tree removal is anywhere from $3-10K/stump in the Bay Area. Possibly more expensive in remote areas where there isn’t road access. And you have 150 million dead trees in CA? Fuel load for years and years.
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Kim-Mai Cutler Retweeted Rob Elvington WAAY 31
Kim-Mai Cutler added,
Rob Elvington WAAY 31 @RobElvingtonReplying to @islivingston @BrianBledsoeThis isn’t new but since the Camp Fire it’s ramped up. People live extremely hazardous zones and demand affordable electricity. Impossible for PG&E to operate as a company and secure 1000s of miles of lines. All it takes is 1 limb and this is a 1 in 10 year wind event.1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @kimmaicutler @Austen
Thanks for the info, I feel like I understand the scope of the problems now! What do you think the best solution is? Or is it more like if it was obvious, it would have already been implemented?
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Replying to @deapthoughts @Austen
I don’t know. On the positive side, maybe this becomes catalytic for micro grid demand/costs. Maybe
@MichaelWWara knows cost estimates per HH to switch at scale.https://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-microgrids-wildfires-power-shutoffs-20190314-story.html …1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @kimmaicutler @deapthoughts and
Kim-Mai Cutler Retweeted Kim-Mai Cutler
On the negative side, managed or strategic retreat may have to be an option. Even in an optimistic scenario where all countries in the world constrain emissions, far more of CA will burn per year going forward.https://twitter.com/kimmaicutler/status/1101538810008002560?s=21 …
Kim-Mai Cutler added,
Kim-Mai CutlerVerified account @kimmaicutlerBloomberg made a graphic of@LeroyWesterling’s paper on how much California burns in two generations. The left is if we actually reverse course and cut emissions. The right is the current course. (Both are already much worse than today.) https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-03-01/california-s-wildfires-show-we-ll-all-pay-for-climate-change … pic.twitter.com/gz6Py2LSPzShow this thread1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
RCP 8.5, unfortunately, is the scenario we are closest toward tracking on....https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2019/01/rcp-85-the-climate-change-disaster-scenario/579700/ …
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