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kimmaicutler's profile
Kim-Mai Cutler
Kim-Mai Cutler
Kim-Mai Cutler
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@kimmaicutler

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Kim-Mai CutlerVerified account

@kimmaicutler

Partner at @initialized. Previously @techcrunch. When life hands me lemons, I make tarte au citron.

San Francisco
medium.com/initialized-ca…
Joined April 2008

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    1. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Kim-Mai Cutler Retweeted Emily Badger

      It’s absurd that SF spends so much time arguing over the allocation of the ~2,000 we units we build a year while owners of the existing ~400K housing units generally see their assets appreciate by $130 *billion* a year. https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/real-estate/2016/01/san-francisco-home-values-zillow.html …https://twitter.com/emilymbadger/status/1155817124541206528 …

      Kim-Mai Cutler added,

      Emily BadgerVerified account @emilymbadger
      I had so much fun talking to developers (and other people) about why everyone hates them: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/29/upshot/developer-dirty-word-housing-shortage.html …
      8 replies 70 retweets 303 likes
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    2. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      That extra $130B in appreciation/year doesn’t reflect that that existing housing is becoming more productive or efficient at housing people. It’s just the same thing, but more expensive. Aggregate value of residential real estate in SF is now $1.6 trillionhttps://www.zillow.com/research/california-leads-housing-gains-22600/ …

      3 replies 5 retweets 65 likes
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    3. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Every time existing housing gets more expensive, it means new renters have to pay more per month on leases or new buyers have to pay more per month on mortgages and the city has to spend more per month on rapid re-housing subsidies or land to build affordable housing.

      2 replies 5 retweets 75 likes
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    4. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Against this backdrop of existing residential property owners seeing their assets appreciate by $100-130 billion a year, SF runs one $600 million affordable housing bond every five years to offset the impact for non-owning lower-income households? https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/amp/SF-voters-to-decide-600-million-affordable-14084026.php …

      1 reply 6 retweets 45 likes
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    5. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Anyway... Proooooop. 13 means the tax assessments on existing housing do not keep up with the costs of servicing residents with schools, fire and police so cities resort to a kludgy, ad-hoc process of extracting revenue from new housing and development. https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3497#Did_Proposition.A013_Increase_Fees_on_Developers.3F_ …

      9 replies 11 retweets 88 likes
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    6. Nathan Heller‏Verified account @nathanheller 29 Jul 2019
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      Replying to @kimmaicutler

      How would you answer the idea that it's six/half a dozen because, in places like SF, Prop. 13 keeps middle-income (if house-rich) hangers-on in town and thus slows wealth-washing—preserving more diversity of interests at the polls (and elsewhere) than you'd get post-reassessment?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Replying to @nathanheller

      There are many diverse, Blue states that don't have California's property tax system?

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    8. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Replying to @kimmaicutler @nathanheller

      it's a wealth transfer from newer entrants (be they the younger generation or domestic/intl immigrants) to longstanding property owners. The lack of diversity in who can afford to come to the Bay Area today is also a product of the system that protects who got here earlier.

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    9. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Replying to @kimmaicutler @nathanheller

      Because the existing non-reassessed residential lands of Bay Area cities can't financially sustain public services, cities generally try to cover the financial gap by approving uses of land that produce a net tax revenue bump like office.

      3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    10. Nathan Heller‏Verified account @nathanheller 29 Jul 2019
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      Replying to @kimmaicutler

      I agree and completely get the end ideal; the question is about how you keep the transition period from spinning out of control. Reassess, and you rich-shift the demographics of several districts overnight. (Well, within two tax years.) Then that's the city you're working with.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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      Replying to @nathanheller

      Multi-decade phaseout? Multi-decade phaseout with proceeds largely going to a statewide deed-restricted affordable housing program? Deferment until point of sale? Low-income & senior deferrals and exclusions?

      10:34 AM - 29 Jul 2019
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler 29 Jul 2019
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          Replying to @kimmaicutler @nathanheller

          Kim-Mai Cutler Retweeted Liam Dillon

          At some point climate change might force the issue. A smaller and smaller land footprint is going to be insurable going forward, putting additional pressure on climate defensible land.https://twitter.com/dillonliam/status/1155871987912171520 …

          Kim-Mai Cutler added,

          Liam DillonVerified account @dillonliam
          Stanford law prof @MichaelWWara told me recently that he believes insurance companies are going to be the ones to functionally block housing in wildfire zones, not government https://www.sacbee.com/news/business/article233012587.html …
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Nathan Heller‏Verified account @nathanheller 29 Jul 2019
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          Replying to @kimmaicutler

          Deferment seems reasonable, and most politically viable, too. Climate—yes. Urbanization pressure is coming from all directions.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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