Plus 6 months lock up period. People often forget about that.
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Slack's direct so no lock-up.
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mortgage interest rates are now at lowest in 3 year
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which is to say nothing about lock-up
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people also underestimate the impact of GOOG and AAPL stock appreciation and overestimate "small" IPOs. At start of 2012, GOOG was $200B and AAPL ~$350B... They've both added over $500B in market cap in that time frame.
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Nobody seems to realize that SF (and NYC, LA, every US city) are priced lower than world cities like London, Tokyo, even Vancouver. Prices seem less crazy - even good investments - through that lens
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Plus, these effects take time to play out. Another hypothesis: SF market today already has those IPO-driven demand expectations priced in.
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Also people forget that many of these companies now have huge numbers of employees who don’t work in San Francisco.
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