We recently asked several of our experts to weigh in on the #Belarus elections, protests, and brutal countermeasures against protesters. READ more
in our thread:
@vcharnysh @Nigelgd1 @mminakov @kshmatsina @IgorZevelevhttps://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/belarus-election-and-its-aftermath-expert-analysis …
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"High level of popular mobilization across the entire country, partly sparked by authorities’ mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic, means that the protests will not just fizzle out over time." - Oksana Antonenko, Global Fellow, Kennan Institute.
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"In the past, the internet was open in
#Belarus, despite the routine attacks against independent media. Now,#Lukashenko is borrowing from China’s toolbox, blocking access to websites and online platforms." -@vcharnysh, Professor of Political Science,@MIT1 odpowiedź 2 podane dalej 2 polubionePokaż ten wątek -
"Russia’s relationship with Belarus has long been close but dysfunctional. The arrest of the Wagner Group operatives and, in recent days, of Russian journalists, has further strained it. It was Lukashenko, not Tikhanovskaya, who criticized
#Russia during the election."@Nigelgd11 odpowiedź 0 podanych dalej 1 polubionyPokaż ten wątek -
"The outcome of presidential elections, as well as the arrest of both the Wagnerites & a political strategist with an American passport, indicate that in the end Lukashenko will still focus on Russia not the West or the US specifically." - Oleg Manaev
@iiseps@UTKnoxville1 odpowiedź 0 podanych dalej 1 polubionyPokaż ten wątek -
"Most probably, strong Western sanctions will resume against Lukashenko’s regime. In this context, it is critical to pay attention to the situation with human rights, civil liberties, and the opposition’s functionality in the country." -
@mminakov1 odpowiedź 1 podany dalej 2 polubionePokaż ten wątek -
"After the incredible brutality of the special force units within the past few nights—where more than 3,000 people have been detained, hundreds injured, and at least one confirmed death—the protest potential is rising even stronger." -
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"[Belarus'] dependence [on Russian energy] suggests that the new government will not openly defy Russia, but rather will walk a line that enables international economic development assistance, creating openings for US and European Union influence." - Regina Smyth
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"Western countries will condemn the elections and violence but not intervene materially, leaving Lukashenko’s maneuvering room between Russia and the
#West circumscribed. " Amb. Kenneth Yalowitz, Global Fellow, Kennan Institute1 odpowiedź 2 podane dalej 1 polubionyPokaż ten wątek
"An outbreak of large-scale violence in Belarus with the participation of Russian forces is unlikely at this moment, but any early warning signs are something to keep an eye on." @IgorZevelev, Global Fellow, Kennan Institute
Wydaje się, że ładowanie zajmuje dużo czasu.
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