We recently asked several of our experts to weigh in on the #Belarus elections, protests, and brutal countermeasures against protesters. READ more
in our thread:
@vcharnysh @Nigelgd1 @mminakov @kshmatsina @IgorZevelevhttps://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/belarus-election-and-its-aftermath-expert-analysis …
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"Most probably, strong Western sanctions will resume against Lukashenko’s regime. In this context, it is critical to pay attention to the situation with human rights, civil liberties, and the opposition’s functionality in the country." -
@mminakovPokaż ten wątek -
"After the incredible brutality of the special force units within the past few nights—where more than 3,000 people have been detained, hundreds injured, and at least one confirmed death—the protest potential is rising even stronger." -
@kshmatsina@gmfusPokaż ten wątek -
"[Belarus'] dependence [on Russian energy] suggests that the new government will not openly defy Russia, but rather will walk a line that enables international economic development assistance, creating openings for US and European Union influence." - Regina Smyth
@IUPOLSPokaż ten wątek -
"Western countries will condemn the elections and violence but not intervene materially, leaving Lukashenko’s maneuvering room between Russia and the
#West circumscribed. " Amb. Kenneth Yalowitz, Global Fellow, Kennan InstitutePokaż ten wątek -
"An outbreak of large-scale violence in Belarus with the participation of Russian forces is unlikely at this moment, but any early warning signs are something to keep an eye on."
@IgorZevelev, Global Fellow, Kennan InstitutePokaż ten wątek
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