Bottom line with this Trump space stuff. 1. No changes before FY 2019 budget. 2. Two years left in first term at that point. 3. Little/no Moon specific funds spent by 2021. 4. Unless Trump re-elected next POTUS could easily switch back to Mars, asteroid or wherever.
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If we are using Falcon Heavy development curve as our unit of time, 4.5 FHs
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Hopefully, it's not 4.5 BFRs or 4.5 SLSs.
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At least twelve parsecs.
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