@Rand_Simberg @kchangnyt pessimistic.
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Replying to @SciGuySpace
@SciGuySpace I think this year is possible because standard deviation of schedule optimism declines as actual date approaches.@kchangnyt1 reply 3 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @Rand_Simberg @SciGuySpace
Has the standard deviation of schedule for FH declined yet? Eric's 4/2017 date looks pretty optimistic now.
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Replying to @kchangnyt
I don't agree. They have to be flying soon in general, or they're out of business.
@SciGuySpace1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Rand_Simberg @SciGuySpace
But F9 and commercial crew are priorities, not the Heavy.
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Replying to @kchangnyt
Heavy is a priority, but not as high a one. It has customers.
@SciGuySpace2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Rand_Simberg @SciGuySpace
39A is a precious commodity for SpaceX until 40 is fixed. Can't tie it up for a not-as-high priority, I suspect.
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Replying to @kchangnyt
Why would a heavy "tie up" 39A? SpaceX vehicles don't spend much time on pads.
@SciGuySpace1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Rand_Simberg @SciGuySpace
1st launching will have added procedure; SpaceX not so silly to think everything will work perfectly on 1st try
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Replying to @kchangnyt
We shall see. I assume that
@SciGuySpace wants a new pool date, though.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
Maybe Eric wants 2018 now.
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