@Rand_Simberg @SciGuySpace What's the over/under on that?
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Replying to @kchangnyt
@kchangnyt Never bet that SpaceX won't do something. Always bet their schedule will slip.@SciGuySpace1 reply 1 retweet 1 like -
Replying to @Rand_Simberg
@Rand_Simberg I usually multiply Elon's schedule pronouncements by 2. Even with that adjustment, Falcon Heavy is late.@SciGuySpace1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
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Replying to @Rand_Simberg
@Rand_Simberg Are you taking 2016? Otherwise, not much of a bet.@SciGuySpace1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @kchangnyt
@kchangnyt Sure, I'll take 2016. I was thinking months, though, not years. (e.g., March, 2017)@SciGuySpace1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
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Replying to @SciGuySpace
@SciGuySpace Are you aware of any particular development issues, or are you just being pessimistic?@kchangnyt1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
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Replying to @SciGuySpace
@SciGuySpace I think this year is possible because standard deviation of schedule optimism declines as actual date approaches.@kchangnyt1 reply 3 retweets 1 like
Has the standard deviation of schedule for FH declined yet? Eric's 4/2017 date looks pretty optimistic now.
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Replying to @kchangnyt
I don't agree. They have to be flying soon in general, or they're out of business.
@SciGuySpace1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Rand_Simberg @SciGuySpace
But F9 and commercial crew are priorities, not the Heavy.
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