@kchangnyt Lombardy region of Italy (population 10M) has 1:500 infection rate. Using log graph may not be helpful when population saturation and fear are likely more valid factors than government actions #lyingstatistics
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If seems important to acknowledge that the shape of the infection curve could be more a function of the delay in large scale testing than other factors including timing of social distancing.
Maybe, but doubtful. If you look at the U.S. curve for the last week, there’s a slight bump upward and then it settles back down. That, I think, reflects the huge ramp-up of testing in NY. But it barely budged the trajectory.