Kenneth Chang

Ah I thought they meant 13,000 globally, as the total number of fatalities from coronavirus is still under that.

The number of coronavirus fatalities globally will be far above 13,000. It'll pass 13,000 tomorrow.

Maybe, but again, globally 1.25 million people die from auto fatalities, globally. People are making a sensation out of this. The media and the governments are engaging in scare tactics, and I'm not sure if it's incompetence or malice that's doing it.

If the rate of auto accidents were increasing exponentially, it would merit equal alarm. But it's pretty steady that has been declining (per mile traveled) because cars are much safer today than 30 years ago.

Did you take into account the increasing rate at which testing is being done, before you decided to make that statement?

You are making the same kind of assumption that antivaxxers make when it comes to autism: that apparent increases are associated with actual increases rather than increasing identification.

Look, you're smart. Construct a reasonable model that explains the exponential mathematical model that produces exponential growth in confirmed cases without an underlying exponential growth in the spreading of the virus through the population.

A constant infection level with an exponentially increasing level of testing would yield those results.