We know that it *is* more lethal. We don't know if we can act in time to keep the death toll below 13,000.
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You are making the same kind of assumption that antivaxxers make when it comes to autism: that apparent increases are associated with actual increases rather than increasing identification.
Look, you're smart. Construct a reasonable model that explains the exponential mathematical model that produces exponential growth in confirmed cases without an underlying exponential growth in the spreading of the virus through the population.
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A constant infection level with an exponentially increasing level of testing would yield those results.
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I believe a linearly increasing level of infection with a linearly increasing level of testing would also be exponential yield similar results, though it might be parabolic rather than exponential.
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