A Different Way to Chart the Spread of Coronavirus -- Ken Chang @kchangnyt on the clarity and insight offered by log-linear plotshttps://nyti.ms/2WxyM90
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If the rate of auto accidents were increasing exponentially, it would merit equal alarm. But it's pretty steady that has been declining (per mile traveled) because cars are much safer today than 30 years ago.
If the total death toll were 10,000 or 13,000, yeah, that would be terrible, but nothing to panic over. But that's also increasing exponentially and you're up to a million in about a month in a half.pic.twitter.com/MTnrx0ucuB
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Hopefully by then, the death rate will no longer be growing exponentially but that would the result of the "overreaction," not something that would happen if people were still going to bars, basketball games, school, etc.
New conversation -
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