There's a large discrepancy between Massachusetts exit polls and the final results. Are there other states with the same thing??https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1235009213346254848 …
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(I don't know what the point is of starting on such an aggressive tone, but in any case.) https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/exit-polls-2020-super-tuesday-primary/ … & https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit/ …pic.twitter.com/Gqw3vfEPWR
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I'd also note that exit poll published at moment polls close (which is exit poll starting this thread, I think) is incomplete in any case as it doesn't include all interviews at all periods of day; and typically doesn't include straight-up topline results, only group
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You should really look into how they conduct exit polls. For ex, Edison uses a sample of in person and RDD phone interviews. Sampling a subset of voters always has an error associated with it. The sampling error is plus or minus 4, as Taniel noted.https://www.edisonresearch.com/election-polling/#one …
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This is correct. Exit polls are THE gold standard in polls.
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This is a lie
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Le chargement semble prendre du temps.
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