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juliagalef's profile
Julia Galef
Julia Galef
Julia Galef
Verified account
@juliagalef

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Julia GalefVerified account

@juliagalef

SF-based writer & speaker focused on reasoning, judgment, and the future of humanity. Host of the Rationally Speaking podcast (@rspodcast)

San Francisco
juliagalef.com
Joined January 2009

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    Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 1

    1) I'm frustrated Steven Pinker won't admit an error in Enlightenment Now. Summary: - Pinker names Stuart Russell as an expert who's skeptical of AI risk - Someone points out that's exactly backwards; Russell is one of the main experts warning about AI risk - Pinker doubles down

    10:58 AM - 1 Feb 2019
    • 93 Retweets
    • 598 Likes
    • Daniel Houck Gineton Arunkumar Ramanan Don Sutterfield Alexey Guzey Jotto999 Mohammad bin Mohamed kris Greg
    31 replies 93 retweets 598 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 1

        2) Here's the critic, Phil Torres, pointing out Pinker's error: https://www.salon.com/2019/01/26/steven-pinkers-fake-enlightenment-his-book-is-full-of-misleading-claims-and-false-assertions/ …pic.twitter.com/bpcSCXjGdv

        3 replies 3 retweets 83 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 1

        3) Here's Pinker's response to Torres. He cites a post Russell wrote which says there are "reasons for optimism" about AI risk. https://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2019/01/29/a-response-from-steve-pinker-to-salons-hit-piece-on-enlightenment-now/ …pic.twitter.com/14oGfvxB1s

        4 replies 3 retweets 68 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 1

        4) But Russell says in that post that AI could wipe out humanity & we need ppl working on AI safety. His reasons for optimism at the end don't negate what he believes is a serious risk. I don't see how you could read this & call him a skeptic of AI risk. https://www.edge.org/response-detail/26157 …pic.twitter.com/3od2wUYro0

        3 replies 4 retweets 104 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 1

        5) And you can easily find other articles and interviews with Russell where he talks about AI as an existential threat, e.g.: https://www.technologyreview.com/s/602776/yes-we-are-worried-about-the-existential-risk-of-artificial-intelligence/ …pic.twitter.com/hPNHdt8fdm

        2 replies 3 retweets 92 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 1

        6) To be clear: I ~agree with the thesis of Enlightenment Now. I like Pinker's work in general. There are lots of dumb critiques of Pinker. I'm not taking a position on the AI risk issue here. My point is it's bad that Pinker got this fact wrong and won't admit it. /end

        24 replies 13 retweets 400 likes
        Show this thread
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Justin Payne‏ @crashfrog Feb 1
        Replying to @juliagalef

        His response to Torres is entirely satisfactory, IMO. You can quote people who don’t themselves agree with you.

        2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 1
        Replying to @crashfrog

        That's not what Pinker did in this case. He described Russell as someone who is "publicly skeptical" of AI risk:pic.twitter.com/LU7vyqy2O2

        4 replies 2 retweets 50 likes
      4. Mason  🏃🏻 ✂️‏ @webdevMason Feb 1
        Replying to @juliagalef @crashfrog

        +1, there’s a critical difference between suggesting that another person’s arguments imply a different conclusion than one they’ve come to, and misrepresenting their conclusions

        0 replies 0 retweets 34 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Samuel Klein‏ @metasj Feb 2
        Replying to @juliagalef

        Hard to recall him ever admitting an error.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 2
        Replying to @metasj

        Yeah I’ve been trying and failing to think of an example... there must be one??

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. 2 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Mark Ledwich‏ @mark_ledwich Feb 1
        Replying to @juliagalef

        This might be the first time pinker was wrong. I need to lie down.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. cgrandfield‏ @csgrandfield Feb 1
        Replying to @mark_ledwich @juliagalef

        I like Pinker and think he's usually correct regarding the big picture, but some of the scholarship in better angels was sloppy as well https://bedejournal.blogspot.com/2011/11/steven-pinker-and-an-lushan-revolt.html?m=1 …

        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. Phil Torres‏ @xriskology Feb 2
        Replying to @csgrandfield @mark_ledwich @juliagalef

        Phil Torres Retweeted Mangy Jay

        Yep. @magi_jayhttps://twitter.com/magi_jay/status/972957975362056200?lang=en …

        Phil Torres added,

        Mangy Jay @magi_jay
        1/ Steven Pinker has a new book out. It is, predictably, getting a lot of praise. So I would like to make a few comments about Pinker’s last book, “The Better Angels of Our Nature,” which was riddled w/ bad analyses, cherry-picked data, and, in many regards, TERRIBLE sourcing. pic.twitter.com/tu2s3eQQYa
        Show this thread
        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      5. Mark Ledwich‏ @mark_ledwich Feb 2
        Replying to @xriskology @csgrandfield and

        Mark Ledwich Retweeted Saloni  💘

        I agree with Saloni's take on that thread.https://twitter.com/salonium/status/978550156462141440?s=19 …

        Mark Ledwich added,

        Saloni  💘 @salonium
        I'd been thinking about this thread for a while but didn't have my copy of BA. Now that I do, I can. 1. I agree the sources in the excerpt were bad & unreliable. 2. The interpretations & characterisations of Pinker in this thread are not only unfair but demonstrably untrue. https://twitter.com/magi_jay/status/972957975362056200 …
        Show this thread
        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Phil Torres‏ @xriskology Feb 2
        Replying to @mark_ledwich @csgrandfield and

        I assume that she's part of the IDW crowd? If so, that would most certainly explain this:pic.twitter.com/RORyWBO13i

        4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      7. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef Feb 2
        Replying to @xriskology @mark_ledwich and

        I wouldn’t classify her that way, dunno if she would.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Amjad Masad‏ @amasad Feb 1
        Replying to @juliagalef

        Starting to suspect there's a Gell-Man amnesia effect that keeps Pinker going. Every subject he touches on experts call him out. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gell-Mann_amnesia_effect …

        5 replies 1 retweet 32 likes
      3. 1 more reply

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