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juliagalef's profile
Julia Galef
Julia Galef
Julia Galef
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@juliagalef

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Julia GalefVerified account

@juliagalef

SF-based writer & speaker focused on reasoning, judgment, and the future of humanity. Host of the Rationally Speaking podcast (@rspodcast)

San Francisco
juliagalef.com
Joined January 2009

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    Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef 26 Oct 2018

    Most people care at least a little about sheltering the homeless, but wouldn't vote to build a new shelter in their own neighborhood. But I wonder how many people would vote for a bill stipulating "We'll randomly select a neighborhood in the city and build a shelter there" ?

    12:13 AM - 26 Oct 2018
    • 26 Retweets
    • 327 Likes
    • Rick Steele Warcraft3_rocks Jennifer Miller misha Jonathan Hursh Daniel Gollahon aStrych Michael Malo Yiwen Uqcic
    28 replies 26 retweets 327 likes
      1. Julia Galef‏Verified account @juliagalef 26 Oct 2018

        i.e., we have a problem of diffuse benefits and concentrated costs; we can't literally spread the costs around, but we CAN spread *expected costs* around

        17 replies 7 retweets 135 likes
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      2. Don‏ @Secretoriginz 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        Shelters need to be reimagined. Not as warehouses for those civilization has disgarded. But bright beautiful communal spaces that inspire those living in them to imagine a better tomorrow. Places that elevate their communities, not detract from them.

        1 reply 2 retweets 14 likes
      3. Cavy‏ @_cavy_ 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @Secretoriginz @juliagalef

        That sounds great. I don't know what that looks like though. Have you thought this through previously, or is this a new idea?

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Trevor O'Brien‏ @tmobrien 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        Probabilistically-IMBY?

        1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
      3. Chris Best‏ @cjgbest 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @tmobrien @juliagalef

        You joke but I think “probably not in my backyard” has legs

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      4. Chris Best‏ @cjgbest 27 Oct 2018
        Replying to @cjgbest @tmobrien @juliagalef

        Plus when people complain that their home value will be decimated, it will be much more accurate

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Vlad Savov‏Verified account @vladsavov 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        It'll be hard to convince people that the proposed randomness is indeed random. Sounds too much like an obfuscation layer for corruption, and in fact, I can't think of any laws that rely on randomness as an instrumental component.

        4 replies 0 retweets 38 likes
      3. Daniel Houck‏ @daniel_houck 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @vladsavov @juliagalef

        That doesn't mean they wouldn't work. And there are publicly-trusted random processes: "We've divided the city into 26 sections, numbered 1 through 26. The city whose number corresponds to the red ball on the next powerball drawing after election day will build a shelter."

        1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
      4. 1 more reply
      1. Rabbi Josh Yuter‏Verified account @JYuter 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        Veil of Ignorance!

        0 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
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      1. Luca Dellanna‏ @DellAnnaLuca 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        Would work well in theory; in practice, I could see people in the selected district protesting hard to have the random selection repeated or the law repealed on some technicality. Any idea how to prevent that?

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      1. morgan‏ @jarg0naut 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        let's build one in every neighborhood.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. aran‏ @arancaytar 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        I see an obstacle in that most people are also extremely bad at estimating probability, leading them to either overestimate it (and thus vote against) or treat a low probability as zero (and thus complain or fight the outcome they voted for when it does affect them).

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Emerson White‏ @Opcn 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        Who would want to gamble like that? They very specifically want them built in not their neighborhood.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      2. Ben‏ @LoveScienceFun 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @juliagalef

        How do they handle this in Europe? My assumption is they have homelessness better under control.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Luca Dellanna‏ @DellAnnaLuca 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @LoveScienceFun @juliagalef

        Depending on the countries: a mix of guaranteed income, public housing, housing subsidies, risk aversion (so less personal debt & personal bankruptcies), public health (so no medical bankruptcy), less zoning, more familiar support & restricted eviction.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Ben‏ @LoveScienceFun 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @DellAnnaLuca @juliagalef

        I get what you’re saying but these sound more like solutions that avoid short-term homelessness. What about long term homelessness? That’s where I would think the shelters come in. People who never work, don’t have a car to sleep in, no family/friends network, mental, addicted.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Ben‏ @LoveScienceFun 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @LoveScienceFun @DellAnnaLuca @juliagalef

        In other words, that answer implies there are no shelters in Europe. Is that true?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. Luca Dellanna‏ @DellAnnaLuca 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @LoveScienceFun

        There are. I didn’t get your point about short-term though. The measures I listed *prevent* homelessness and address many of its causes. Solving a root problem rather than a symptom *is* a long-term solution; shelters, which instead alleviate the symptopm, are a short-term one.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Ben‏ @LoveScienceFun 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @DellAnnaLuca

        Majority of homeless are short term and the more robust European social safety net surely reduces that. I 100% agree.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      8. Luca Dellanna‏ @DellAnnaLuca 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @LoveScienceFun

        I’d actually be very interested to know how it works in Asia, where I saw very few homeless people AND they do not have such a big safety net as Europe.

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      9. Ben‏ @LoveScienceFun 26 Oct 2018
        Replying to @DellAnnaLuca

        I’m guessing that the family dynamic plays a role. It’s not socially acceptable to let your kin live like that no matter their situation. In the West (especially US) more fault is put on the individual.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      10. 2 more replies

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