Julia GalefOvjeren akaunt

@juliagalef

SF-based writer & speaker focused on reasoning, judgment, and the future of humanity. Host of the Rationally Speaking podcast ()

San Francisco
juliagalef.com
Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2009.
973 fotografije ili videozapisa Fotografije i videozapisi

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    18. velj 2017.

    Things that make my heart sing: 1. Pareto improvements 2. People updating on evidence 3. People cooperating in one-off prisoner's dilemmas

    90 replies 625 proslijeđenih tweetova 3.424 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  2. 15. stu 2019.

    Do I have any antifa-adjacent, or antifa-sympathetic followers? If so, I'm curious whether you would endorse this explanation of (one reason for) your skepticism of liberals? From

    26 replies 3 proslijeđena tweeta 48 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  3. 13. stu 2019.

    ... and kudos to and for an excellent book:

    7 proslijeđenih tweetova 53 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  4. 13. stu 2019.

    Needless to say, Bryan has interesting answers to all of these! Check out the podcast / transcript to see what they are (we cover other mysteries too, like "Why does the US restrict high-skill immigration?"): /6

    4 proslijeđena tweeta 25 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  5. 13. stu 2019.

    Fourth, a lot of people in smaller towns/cities place value on cultural continuity - the sense that their home isn't going to radically change underneath their feet. How do we account for that in the cost/benefit calculus? /5

    5 replies 2 proslijeđena tweeta 26 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  6. 13. stu 2019.

    Third, how can we be confident that whatever values/memes in American culture that helped made us successful historically won't change with large amounts of immigration? /4

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  7. 13. stu 2019.

    Second, how can we be confident in the long-term effects of (hypothetical) open borders, when we can't even be confident in the effects of a single instance of (actual) immigration? /3

    1 reply 2 proslijeđena tweeta 21 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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  8. 13. stu 2019.

    (and to be clear, my hesitations are against a backdrop of enthusiasm for greatly increasing immigration) First, would it make the homelessness problem in big cities like SF a lot worse? How would that work? /2

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  9. 13. stu 2019.

    It was interesting to wrestle with my views on open borders, with on the latest episode of Rationally Speaking - episode sparked by his & 's new NYT bestseller, "Open Borders." Audio & transcript: To summarize my hesitations... 1/

    12 replies 27 proslijeđenih tweetova 197 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. lis 2019.

    Jeopardy had a clue about p- hacking today! (And kinda screwed up p-values all at the same time.)

    13 replies 151 proslijeđeni tweet 725 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    25. lis 2019.

    Broke: Most people are too sensitive to receive feedback. Woke: Most relationships don't have sufficient context, investment, or trust for feedback to be taken in good faith.

    38 replies 567 proslijeđenih tweetova 3.203 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  12. 24. lis 2019.

    I've never met economics Nobel laureate Abhijit Banerjee, but I can tell I would like him because of how long he thinks about questions before answering

    11 replies 41 proslijeđeni tweet 486 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  13. 22. lis 2019.

    A corollary to Gell-Mann amnesia: In dialogue with people I often realize they've misunderstood my point the 1st (or 2nd, or 3rd) time I try to express it But then when I'm writing a talk / article / etc. I just blithely assume everyone will understand the whole thing perfectly

    9 replies 21 proslijeđeni tweet 332 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  14. 22. lis 2019.

    oh, so google is taking sides in the probability wars now ??

    7 replies 50 proslijeđenih tweetova 422 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  15. 21. lis 2019.

    Something heartwarming about the internet: How it can be a lifeline for kids in abusive families who didn’t know enough to object, until they saw people online discussing abuse. Hate to think what it must’ve been like 200 years ago without that lifeline.

    7 replies 42 proslijeđena tweeta 272 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  16. 21. lis 2019.

    I really have to start checking the name of the account *before* I react to the tweet

    Serbia: Nazi occupiers announce that as "reprisal" for 10 Germans killed by partisans, they will shoot 2300 civilians in town of Kragujevac.
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    2 proslijeđena tweeta 67 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    18. lis 2019.

    The details from his Equifax class-action suit are BONKERS

    91 reply 2.206 proslijeđenih tweetova 4.090 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  18. 17. lis 2019.

    A habit I'm starting to pick up: When you realize someone you disagreed with in the past was actually right, email them and let them know (even if the disagreement was months / years ago) Benefits: (1) It's nice for them to hear it (2) It makes the update stickier for you

    55 replies 310 proslijeđenih tweetova 2.540 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    10. ruj 2019.

    This, from a pretty harsh review of Gladwell’s new book, is an EXCELLENT lesson on why you should always track down the original source of seemingly-unlikely statistics. Because often secondary sources launder really bad counting. The review is here:

    76 replies 1.827 proslijeđenih tweetova 4.480 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  20. 16. lis 2019.

    Here's a pre-print of Le Texier's paper, with lots of quotes from the experiment:

    1 reply 8 proslijeđenih tweetova 39 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  21. 16. lis 2019.

    Even as recently as last year, on the Tim Ferris show, Zimbardo was talking about the SPE as if the guards' behavior (which he directed!) was surprising to him:

    7 proslijeđenih tweetova 57 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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