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Prikvačeni tweet
Things that make my heart sing: 1. Pareto improvements 2. People updating on evidence 3. People cooperating in one-off prisoner's dilemmas
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Do I have any antifa-adjacent, or antifa-sympathetic followers? If so, I'm curious whether you would endorse this explanation of (one reason for) your skepticism of liberals? From https://theunitofcaring.tumblr.com/post/159880144956/im-boggling-trying-and-failing-to-understand-how …pic.twitter.com/IhzeZpKJqt
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... and kudos to
@bryan_caplan and@ZachWeiner for an excellent book: https://www.amazon.com/Open-Borders-Science-Ethics-Immigration-ebook/dp/B07YRKYKZ3 …pic.twitter.com/VCmyVilK31
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Needless to say, Bryan has interesting answers to all of these! Check out the podcast / transcript to see what they are (we cover other mysteries too, like "Why does the US restrict high-skill immigration?"): http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/rs-243-bryan-caplan-on-the-case-for-open-borders.html … /6
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Fourth, a lot of people in smaller towns/cities place value on cultural continuity - the sense that their home isn't going to radically change underneath their feet. How do we account for that in the cost/benefit calculus? /5pic.twitter.com/7J4Aq7oiH6
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Third, how can we be confident that whatever values/memes in American culture that helped made us successful historically won't change with large amounts of immigration? /4pic.twitter.com/8ZdqZSiu5r
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Second, how can we be confident in the long-term effects of (hypothetical) open borders, when we can't even be confident in the effects of a single instance of (actual) immigration? /3pic.twitter.com/2gu0zEph06
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(and to be clear, my hesitations are against a backdrop of enthusiasm for greatly increasing immigration) First, would it make the homelessness problem in big cities like SF a lot worse? How would that work? /2pic.twitter.com/XC5tAOUeTE
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It was interesting to wrestle with my views on open borders, with
@bryan_caplan on the latest episode of Rationally Speaking - episode sparked by his &@ZachWeiner's new NYT bestseller, "Open Borders." Audio & transcript: http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/rs-243-bryan-caplan-on-the-case-for-open-borders.html … To summarize my hesitations... 1/pic.twitter.com/Vv57H6wwVX
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Julia Galef proslijedio/la je Tweet
Jeopardy had a clue about p- hacking today! (And kinda screwed up p-values all at the same time.)pic.twitter.com/J6eyUwn9Ap
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Julia Galef proslijedio/la je Tweet
Broke: Most people are too sensitive to receive feedback. Woke: Most relationships don't have sufficient context, investment, or trust for feedback to be taken in good faith.
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I've never met economics Nobel laureate Abhijit Banerjee, but I can tell I would like him because of how long he thinks about questions before answering https://www.theguardian.com/books/2012/apr/22/abhijit-banerjee-poor-chances-minimal …pic.twitter.com/SGXVxr9SH1
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A corollary to Gell-Mann amnesia: In dialogue with people I often realize they've misunderstood my point the 1st (or 2nd, or 3rd) time I try to express it But then when I'm writing a talk / article / etc. I just blithely assume everyone will understand the whole thing perfectly
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oh, so google is taking sides in the probability wars now ??pic.twitter.com/uoxX1ekM7n
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Something heartwarming about the internet: How it can be a lifeline for kids in abusive families who didn’t know enough to object, until they saw people online discussing abuse. Hate to think what it must’ve been like 200 years ago without that lifeline. https://www.reddit.com/r/raisedbynarcissists/comments/76sup5/when_did_you_realize_your_parent_was_a/doh49qm/ …pic.twitter.com/lorxO9YwoC
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I really have to start checking the name of the account *before* I react to the tweethttps://twitter.com/RealTimeWWII/status/1186343798663778309 …
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Julia Galef proslijedio/la je Tweet
The details from his Equifax class-action suit are BONKERS http://securities.stanford.edu/filings-documents/1063/EI00_15/2019128_r01x_17CV03463.pdf …pic.twitter.com/iI0I41lAAN
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A habit I'm starting to pick up: When you realize someone you disagreed with in the past was actually right, email them and let them know (even if the disagreement was months / years ago) Benefits: (1) It's nice for them to hear it (2) It makes the update stickier for you
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Julia Galef proslijedio/la je Tweet
This, from a pretty harsh review of Gladwell’s new book, is an EXCELLENT lesson on why you should always track down the original source of seemingly-unlikely statistics. Because often secondary sources launder really bad counting. The review is here: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/09/when-malcolm-gladwell-says-nothing-at-all/597697/ …pic.twitter.com/OBqXIwR5E5
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Here's a pre-print of Le Texier's paper, with lots of quotes from the experiment: https://www.gwern.net/docs/psychology/2019-letexier.pdf …
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Even as recently as last year, on the Tim Ferris show, Zimbardo was talking about the SPE as if the guards' behavior (which he directed!) was surprising to him: https://tim.blog/2018/06/05/the-tim-ferriss-show-transcripts-dr-phil-zimbardo/ …pic.twitter.com/BeArOIfKeB
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