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Jonathan Toomim’s Tweets
Thread: Each week I’m running a simulation of Australia’s main electricity grid using rescaled generation data to show that it can get very close to 100% renewable electricity with just 5 hrs of storage (24 GW / 120 GWh)
Results:
last week: 100% RE
last 61 weeks: 98.9% RE (1/4)
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Things they don’t tell you in school: failing to develop a memorable hacker handle early in life can become a major regret of your programming career.
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How much effectiveness would you guess masks lose after 40 DAYS? We tested it. Would you have guessed 3%?? quora.com/How-many-times
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🚨BREAKING🚨
Our legislation to decriminalize psychedelics, #SB519, passed a key committee and will be voted on by the full Senate within the next two weeks.
If you're a CA resident, let your Senator know that you support this important legislation: bit.ly/findrep21
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The India variant, B.1.617, is beginning to show signs of vaccine breakthrough ability and antibody resistance in addition to much higher virulence and transmissibility. It seems likely that B.1.617 will soon be sweeping the world if we're not careful.
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Worrisome cluster at Singapore 
@ChangiAirport of many #B1617 Indian variant (+pending). 92% of aviation staff vaccinated—of primary cases: 11 breakthroughs in vaccinated airport staff, 3 in unvaccinated staff, 4 non-airport staff unvaccinated. #MaskUp
channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore
@ChangiAirport of many #B1617 Indian variant (+pending). 92% of aviation staff vaccinated—of primary cases: 11 breakthroughs in vaccinated airport staff, 3 in unvaccinated staff, 4 non-airport staff unvaccinated. #MaskUp
channelnewsasia.com/news/singaporeShow this thread
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Vaccines appear to produce stronger T cell responses than natural infection does, not just better antibody responses.
This benefit can be mostly explained by the two-dose schedule.
V1/2 = dose 1/2
Convalescent = recovered from natural infection
biorxiv.org/content/10.110
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i've mentioned antibody fixup a number of times, but just to be a bit clear since i don't think i've seen it discussed clearly to a lay audience, let me try to explain how it actually works.
so, let's start. you're vaccinated, & a variant occurs that escapes "neutralization"...
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5) Have we seen indoor transmission in a restaurant before? Many many times. This South Korea 🇰🇷 infection stood out — it was from 20 feet away and a teenager was infected within just 5 minutes in the restaurant! See 🧵
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Airborne transmission—Look how a South Korean high school student became infected after **5 minutes of exposure from >20 feet away**. We cannot keep using the 6-feet (2 m) standard of social distance
to keep people safe. Indoor dining not safe! #COVID19 latimes.com/world-nation/sShow this thread
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📍AIRBORNE RESTAURANT TRANSMISSION—3 families—“No close contact or fomite contact identified, aside from back-to-back sitting—Airflow dynamics indicates the infection distribution is consistent with a spread of **long-range transmission of exhaled virus-laden aerosols**”. 🧵
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Mask mandates resulted in cases and deaths decreasing by 1-2% per day for at least 80 days after the mandate went into effect. Allowing indoor dining increased cases and deaths by 1-3% per day.
cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7
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Finally, a government that gets it! The quality of the mask matters.
A bandana over your face will not stop the virus from spreading. An FFP2 or KN95 mask will.
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11/11 ... to mutations that allow the virus to evade previous antibodies.
If we don't get ahead of this virus soon with vaccines, masks, effective quarantine procedures, etc, then it might never go away. Instead, humanity might be stuck with it for decades or centuries to come.
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10/ First, by letting the virus reproduce, it gives plenty of opportunity for mutations. Second, by presenting a large population of hosts with antibodies, but to whom transmission is otherwise easy, it imposes an evolutionary pressure by giving a selective advantage ...
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9/ Trying to "fight" the virus with herd immunity from natural infections is a strategy that's bound to fail, because it produces the perfect conditions for promoting viral evolution.
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8/ This turn of events was entirely predictable. The more people that get infected, the more chances the virus gets to mutate and evolve. If we feed our bodies to the virus, the virus will get stronger.
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7/ or, more likely, that
(b) P.1 is not effectively neutralized by the antibodies generated in response to infections or vaccinations with previous strains.
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6/ Altogether, this suggests that the P.1 variant is either
(a) far more infectious than previous variants, causing it to infect the majority of the 24% remaining uninfected as well as cause a small number of reinfections ...
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5/ ... and several cases have been identified in Manaus which a person got COVID twice and in which the second infection was with the P.1 variant.
portal.fiocruz.br/en/news/fiocru
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4/ Meanwhile, a new viral variant known as P.1 is showing up at high rates in the new outbreak ...
virological.org/t/genomic-char
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3/ But there's been another outbreak in Manaus since December, and it seems at least as bad as the previous one. This suggests that large swaths of the population are getting infected *again*.
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2/ After that, case counts remained low despite a relaxation of social distancing rules, which suggests that they were benefitting from herd immunity effects.
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tl;dr: SARS-CoV-2 is evolving to evade previous antibodies.
1/ Manaus, Brazil is known for having hit around 76% COVID-19 infection rates back in March, possibly gaining herd immunity effects.
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Performance Improvements for #BitcoinCash
Jonathan Toomim joins to discuss how to scale #BCH, how to raise the chained tx limit, industrial crypto mining & more
youtube.com/watch?v=GbS7Q4
PODCAST podcast.bitcoincash.site/1495093/752249
LBRY lbry.tv/@BitcoinCashSi
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Good advice for programmers starting to get into parallel programming. twitter.com/Comparativist/
This Tweet is unavailable.
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That's less than a quarter the price of a single Ford-class Aircraft Carrier.
It is roughly equivalent to the purchase price for 36 F-35As jscalc.io/calc/TuYzNETZT
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For a cost of less than $3 billion the government could fund initial R&D on vaccines *for every known virus with pandemic potential.* In the event of a pandemic you could have a final Phase III trial wrapped up on a vaccine within 10 weeks. nymag.com/intelligencer/
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Since and @vinarmani (#Vinstradamus) both seem to agree with this prediction, I thought it would be fun to share mine.
My prediction: There will be no chain split, as Bitcoin ABC will have majority BCH hashpower on November 15th.
Read on for my reasoning. /Thread
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Replying to @deadalnix
BCHN's proposition is not based on logical consistency so I don't go there. But most likely, after a checkpoint is reached, that tip is legitimized and deserving of a checkpoint. The tradition will be pointed as originating in ABC, to avoid criticism. Then the PoW will diminish.
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Up until a month ago I thought Trump said white nationalists were ‘very fine people’, because that is how it was reported - and I though he was despicable.
Then I learned what he really said. How can we trust media that manipulates our perception like this?
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Big news from Pfizer, with apparent high efficacy (>90%) based on 94 confirmed COVID-19 cases at their interim analysis.
A thread on how I interpret this news. Briefly:
"Celebrate, but let the process play out over time as intended."
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pfizer.com/news/press-rel
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Bitcoin Cash Node MR !746 (Faster tx relay) has been merged. Read about it here:
old.reddit.com/r/btc/comments
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The next episode of the BU podcast is now out! 🎙️
Go check it out to listen to the talented talk about XThinner and his exciting work on other scaling technologies for #BitcoinCash #BCH.
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I was trying to look into if I'm using any electrum-cash servers that would follow IFP, but it turns out that I had nothing to worry about.
While this can still change leading up to the fork, it's interesting to see that so many have taken the higher-effort action of changing:
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Has anyone else been blocked by recently? Or is it just me?
In 2018, Craig Wright blocked everyone who might contradict or refute his arguments in the lead-up to the BSV split. This let him build a cult and echo chamber. Perhaps is doing the same thing now?
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You know, Amaury, if you want to go back to Facebook for a stable $378k/yr salary, you can just do that. There is no need to split BCH over this.
At the CoinEx futures prices, the IFP isn't going to let ABC afford $100k salaries, much less $378k. Might as well give it up.
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$378K: the reported average compensation for skilled software engineers at @Facebook 
How can #BCH compete to win technical talent? “You need to remain competitive. If you’re not, you’re not going to get the best developers.”
@crypt0snews timestamp: youtu.be/9en8jrv2aKY?t=
How can #BCH compete to win technical talent? “You need to remain competitive. If you’re not, you’re not going to get the best developers.”
@crypt0snews timestamp: youtu.be/9en8jrv2aKY?t=9
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First Network Discussion is online and available to watch youtube.com/watch?v=uPTy6A - learn about effects on the BCH network from removal of the unconfirmed chain limit and double spend proofs!
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I'm old enough to remember when the President of the United States was asked to condemn white supremacists and didn't.
it was like 20 minutes ago.
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Replying to @tobib185
Yep!
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