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The Lucid marketplace isn't perfect, but it's a godsend this type of public opinion research (if you use it thoughtfully). With @dellavolpe I've spent almost 20 years studying the youth vote. I find this method of analysis extremely compelling.https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/2/25/21152538/bernie-sanders-electability-president-moderates-data …
The biggest hole so far in Bernie's theory of the case is turnout. It's been underwhelming. I'm not convinced by any analysis so far he's juiced youth turnout. We'll know more after Tuesday. Bernie has electoral advantages. No question. But he's also got huge question marks.
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