Predictive power comes from models and data which comport with reality. Reality is not a social construct.
How do we maneuver in the world when ultimately delimited by ignorance? Oh. You know! We just use facts! But how do we choose which facts? https://twitter.com/RubinOfAkkad/status/852357079520169984 …
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Is it the fact of the matter that facts are true? Old man?
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The metric: facts are morphisms which facilitate reliable predictions about the world. Better predictions means more true.
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It still doesn't address which facts would facilitate reliable predictions.
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confidence in one's own innate/learned principles alternating with flashes of self-loathing/deprecation. You know...keep it light.
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Trial and error, articulation, questioning, consistency.
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.. negative capability, cat.
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Homer knows: Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that’s even remotely true! Facts schmacts. ;)
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Whichever facts suit our intended outcome, of course... ;-)
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