There were 10 where I couldn't make a call. Now I have for these. Broxtowe Harborough Hendon Kensington Luton South Putney Truro & Falmouth Watford Ynys Mon York Outer
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Broxtowe Tactical vote: Labour Sorry Anna Soubry. This was on a knife-edge between Labour and Tories last time, and I cannot see how Soubry can retain it. And sorry, sentimentality doesn't count here.
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Harborough Tactical vote: Lib Dem This one was pointed out to me late, hence my late decision. There has been some Lib Dem support here (also at Council elections) but no sign of Labour support growing.
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Hendon Tactical vote: Labour Constituency poll here shows Labour much stronger than the Lib Dems, but Tories gaining over Labour (due, I presume, to this seat having the 2nd highest Jewish population in the UK)
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Kensington Tactical vote: Lib Dem Sorry Labour, but on the basis of the demography and the polling the Lib Dems are better placed to beat the Tories here. This one really needed a Remain Alliance but didn't get one
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Luton South Tactical vote: Labour Sorry Gavin Shuker (Change UK) but I cannot see how the seat is winnable for you, not least because of the poor Lib Dem performance here in the past. Better Labour wins than a Tory does.
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Putney Tactical vote: Labour Unlike some other parts of south west London there is no sign of a Lib Dem revival here. While Labour has won Putney in the past.
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Truro & Falmouth Tactical vote: Labour Changing demography (more students), and solid performance for Labour in 2017 make this one look a better bet for Labour
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Watford Tactical vote: Lib Dem The data points in all directions here - not least that Labour did very well in 2015 and 2017, but the Council is controlled by the Lib Dems. Based on the demography as well Lib Dem makes more sense.
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Ynys Mon Tactical vote: Plaid Cymru Complex - narrowly held by Labour, with the Tories and PC vying for second. The nature of the seat, and that PC is Unite to Remain choice makes them the better bet here.
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York Outer Tactical vote: Lib Dem Another seat where the data points in different directions. Solid performance locally for the Lib Dems over the medium term means this is a better Lib Dem bet I think.
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As ever: - these are only the *really* complex cases! A tactical voting recommendation in 500+ seats is *much* simpler! - all the tactical voting sites do a good job in the majority of seats - data *might* yet change, so check the advice again before you vote! /ends
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