That week the Tories announce who wins their leadership (pretty certainly Johnson), and May is due to resign. But will Johnson be able to command a majority? Will there be a No Confidence Vote? And if Johnson doesn't command a majority, what does the Queen do?
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Also - as
@jonlis1 and others have argued - this is all a question of when the crisis deepens, not if. If it doesn't happen now in July, it will in September. My chances Johnson sees it through to the summer: 26%Deze collectie tonen -
Hold on tight between now and the end of the month. You thought Brexit was already messy? You ain't seen nothing yet! /ends
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No Tories will cross the floor at this point. The absolute overriding factor, beyond even brexit, is keeping Corbyn out of no 10.
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Grieve and Clarke have said they will to stop a No Deal Brexit.
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Or would the Queen decide to intervene, as politicians haven't managed to find a workable way forward with sufficient consensus and the union itself is ever more at stake (see increasing divide & yougov poll on breakup of union) over the issue?
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Could the Queen intervene in this way? What would that look like? Any likelihood? (One senses she’s a remainer)
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Which 2 Tories do you think will quit?
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Could Boris claim to be able to command majority if parliament is in recess?
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Is the DUP's support for new PM a given?
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No. But I’m assuming it will.
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