The fundamentals are clear by now.
OPT
- No Deal Brexit
Who wants it?
A few dozen Tory crazies
Can they get it?
It's the default, but probably not - there's no majority for it in the Commons
Is it sensible?
No
-
-
Deze collectie tonen
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OPT
- May's Brexit Deal (Hard Brexit)
Who wants it?
A rump of Tories in the middle of that party
Can they get it?
No. It lost by 230 votes. Minor amendments to it aren't going to be enough, &
won't change Withdrawal Agreement
Sensible?
It's messy, but less bad than No DealDeze collectie tonen -
OPT
- Corbyn's Softer Brexit
(as per 7 Feb letter)
Who wants it?
Some of Labour & some Tories around Boles
Can they get it?
V unlikely. May can't accept permanent Customs Union. More Tories would oppose this than oppose May's Deal
Sensible?
OK economically foolish politicallyDeze collectie tonen -
So
needs some other way out...
OPT
- Extend Article 50
Who wants it?
A pretty wide coalition of MPs, Lab and some Con
Can they get it?
At the end of next week, probably
Is it sensible?
Better than No Deal. But it's not a *solution*Deze collectie tonen -
OPT
- General Election
Who wants it?
No Tories do. Labour would love it, but hasn't got the numbers
Can they get it?
May has gambled on an election before. Might she again, as only way out?
Is it sensible?
No. What would parties even say about Brexit in manifestos?Deze collectie tonen -
OPT
- #PeoplesVote Who wants it? Cross party support, but not a majority of MPs Can they get it? If all of the other options above fail, then perhaps Is it sensible? It can avoid No Deal, there's public support for it, it keeps parties intactDeze collectie tonen -
OPT
- Rescind Article 50
Who wants it?
Pretty much no one
Can they get it?
You need a Commons vote to do it. Would only work if the country were in very deep crisis
Is it sensible?
Not at the moment. Maybe in mid-March if there's panicDeze collectie tonen -
In summary: OPTIONS


clearly don't work. We know that now.
So please,
politicians, move to 

(or even
) now.Deze collectie tonen -
has just 50 days left of the #Article50 period. There is NO TIME TO LOSE! So *please* get out of the current cycle, and change your thinking! /endspic.twitter.com/F9vvQOjbM1
Deze collectie tonen
Einde van gesprek
Nieuw gesprek -
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Nice thread! Point is, a PV only makes sense if it has at least one brexit type with majority support in HoC on the ballot. We are not even close! A50 extension only feasible when UK faces new elections or referendum. So, either put May's rejected deal on it, or Corbyn's deal.
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Corbyn hasn't got a deal - he's got a wish list (now shorter by removing the non-fudgeably impossible demand).
- Antwoorden weergeven
Nieuw gesprek -
Het laden lijkt wat langer te duren.
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resident. Teaches
sending May or Ministers to Brussels to get something or other