Jonathan Ladd

@jonmladd

Associate Prof in and . Executive Board . Faculty Liaison to . My apologies, but I do not read Twitter replies.

Washington, DC
jonathanmladd.com
Joined July 2009
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  1. Retweeted
    18 hours ago

    This is a remarkable op-ed. We now have military officers (retired, to be sure) thinking about how to coup-proof their own military & prevent (further) polarization and fractionalization in the ranks, including total breakdown of control

    21 replies 158 retweets 380 likes
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  2. 12 hours ago

    Rejecting the Biden administrations plea for universal boosters in Sept 2021 has to go down as one of the FDA/CDC's biggest blunders in this whole pandemic. Right up there with telling people not to wear masks in March 2020.

    1 reply 9 retweets 61 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    15 hours ago

    I don’t know how I didn’t notice until now but Biden got the highest vote share of an incumbent challenger since 1932

    2 replies 13 retweets 102 likes
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  4. 16 hours ago

    Counterpoint: He would still win the House majority next year.

    Like if Kevin McCarthy released a “back to 2005” Contract With America promising to take another run at privatizing Social Security, go back to kicking gay soldiers out of the Army, and repeal Obama’s job-killing health care law that would be a disaster for Republicans.
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    17 likes
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  5. 16 hours ago

    I always thought of "soft rational choice" as medium political science.

    After an explanation of what macro and micro economics are, my son asks: what about medium economics?
    6 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    Dec 17

    Leaving aside Rs' own well-publicized flops during their last narrow trifecta, if they had the dumb luck to enjoy a 50/50 majority by virtue of a singular survivor in, say, Vermont (D+35 vs R+39), you can bet the legislative agenda would be less than transformative.

    Just sitting here thinking about what would happen if Republicans had the House, the presidency, & 50 senators, & one senator -- literally one guy -- was standing in the way of their entire agenda. I invite you to imagine the full-spectrum, 360° hurricane of shit ...
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    21 replies 31 retweets 296 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    Dec 17

    public opinion (even among the less politically sophisticated) is increasingly unidimensional (higher values in this graph mean that attitudes load more strongly on a single dimension)

    3 replies 26 retweets 102 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    Dec 17

    I bet *this* will be the crisis that inspires the CDC to move nimbly and communicate openly [automated tweet sent every variant]

    1 reply 10 retweets 78 likes
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  9. Retweeted
    Dec 16

    This is literally a qualification for office, no different from being 35 for a Pres: You are disqualified if "having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, to support the Constitution of the United States, have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same."

    243 replies 5,614 retweets 28,822 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    Dec 16

    NB: remember what I said about acknowledgements. The first paragraph of the one in Systems Effects is... salty.

    3 replies 2 retweets 31 likes
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  11. Dec 16

    You admit further down the thread that Republican support won't be there if it comes to an actual vote. That means it doesn't actually have bipartisan support. I agree they should pass it, but the House is irrelevant if Manchin isn't on board.

    For all the good this trifecta has done, the failure to act on Puerto Rico statehood because of “imperialism” concerns among the left will be one of the biggest missed opportunities in a generation. If they pass this up now, they won’t get it for at least another 5-10 years.
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    1 retweet 7 likes
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  12. Dec 16

    Does an "exactly what he wants" bill exist, such that if Schumer put that thing on the floor this week Manchin would vote yes? The answer seems crucial and isn't very clear to me from the reporting.

    This situation right here is precisely why some progressives didn’t want to pass infrastructure. The center of the party got what it wanted while Manchin continues to try to tweak the BBB and whittle it down to what he wants.
    4 likes
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  13. Dec 16

    The key question is how many of these people have permanently changed their party attachment, and how many will change back soon either because they are uncertain/ambivalent or they made a mistake answering the question.

    1 reply 3 likes
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  14. Dec 16

    Like the the pure median voter theorem, this is another very old political science theory that we know is only partially accurate. This one is the Fiorina running tally theory. But we know the questions to ask: How much of this is random churn and how much is permanent change?

    1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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  15. Dec 16

    When you've taught a required intro class for the last 15 years, and now are staring into the abyss.

    1 reply 8 likes
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  16. Dec 15

    From abortion to environmental policy to McCarthyism against teachers, in America we try to do all policy through Adversarial Legalism.

    DeSantis is rolling out a new bill today, the Stop W.O.K.E. Act, that would prohibit private businesses from offering "CRT" employee training. It also gives parents and students a private right of action against teachers.
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    2 replies 20 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    Dec 15

    after seeing Back To The Future, explaining to Sophie what a phonebook was... Sophie (incredulous): People actually doxxed themselves?

    31 replies 191 retweets 1,234 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Dec 14

    What scientists are projecting will happen to the Thwaites Glacier in the next three to five years should be front page news everywhere today. Short thread.

    70 replies 1,413 retweets 2,761 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    Dec 14

    every analysis of heterogeneous treatment effects

    What is a good example of somebody voluntarily giving up power?
    5 replies 22 retweets 210 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Dec 13

    GOP already saying "we're going to nuke the economy in 2023 in advance of the 2024 election" while Dems prep a vote to... extend the debt limit out only to 2023, so Republicans can pull that off? Maybe up the number now that you have the chance?

    15 replies 127 retweets 402 likes
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