2020 Wisconsin Primary: Warren: 29% Sanders: 24% Biden: 20% Buttigieg: 9% Harris: 5% Everyone else 2% and under Warren also has the highest favorability of any candidate (84% among Dems)
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Up for grabs voters: - Independents (35% of electorate) lean Trump 43-41% - 2016 3rd party voters (19% of undecideds) lean Dem 41-18% - 2016 nonvoters (21% of undecideds) lean Dem 45-30%
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Now for the interesting stuff. We ran this like a campaign poll, not a media poll, so we tested a bunch of positive and negative descriptions about Trump. Between 47-53% agreed with every description except one: “Trump drained the swamp,” which only 33% agreed with.
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The statements about Trump where the largest majorities of all voters and independent voters agreed were: “Trump is corrupt” “Trump is focused on himself, not you” “Trump fights for the wealthy and corporations, not working people” “Trump is an ineffective leader”
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WI voters are split on whether Trump is a racist: 49% agree (94% Ds, 46% Is, 4% Rs) 50% disagree
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The most persuasive message we tested against Trump was this: “Trump proposed nearly $1 trillion in cuts to Medicare to pay for his tax cut for millionaires and billionaires” Made voters say they were less likely to support Trump by a margin of 38 points
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Other persuasive messages that moved voters: - Trump used the White House to enrich himself and his family businesses - Trump’s failed trade war with China - Trump’s tax law encouraged outsourcing - Trump being accused of sexual assault by dozens of women
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Here's my list of famous people in America I would NOT want to replace donald in Oval Office:
@seanhannity,@TuckerCarlson, Richard Spencer,@DonaldJTrumpJr,#MoscowMitch,@newtgingrich,@IngrahamAngle, all@foxandfriends hosts, Steve Bannon & Lex Luthor. Who am I missing? -
If he was still living Charles Manson might have been a toss up...
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In my mind that is a disgusting poll and does not bode well for democrats- am I wrong?
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You're not. It's going to be very close. WI has a much higher share of uneducated older whites than MI and PA do. This is why heavy investments are going to be made in AZ, TX and GA because the demos there might be more favorable.
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