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jonfavs's profile
Jon Favreau
Jon Favreau
Jon Favreau
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@jonfavs

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Jon FavreauVerified account

@jonfavs

The Other One. @Crookedmedia, @PodSaveAmerica, The Wilderness, http://VoteSaveAmerica.com 

Los Angeles, CA
thewildernesspodcast.com
Joined April 2010

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    1. Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

      Jon Favreau Retweeted The New York Times

      Few thoughts about this @jmartNYT piece: 1. It’s true there’s been an overall, long-term decline in Democratic performance among rural voters. But it’s odd to make 2012 the reference point when Dems made their biggest gains between 2016 and 2018 among...rural voters.https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1066670371028561920 …

      Jon Favreau added,

      The New York TimesVerified account @nytimes
      Stacey Abrams in Georgia, Andrew Gillum in Florida and Beto O’Rourke in Texas may have electrified black voters and progressive white voters, but in rural county after rural county, they performed worse than former President Obama did in 2012 https://nyti.ms/2DVSLWo 
      39 replies 394 retweets 1,785 likes
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    2. Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

      2. We know this because of another NYT story by @StanGreenberg: “Democrats cut the Republicans’ margin in rural areas by 13 points, according to the Edison exit poll and by seven points in one by Catalist.” Full piece:https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/17/opinion/sunday/trump-is-beginning-to-lose-his-grip.html …

      5 replies 90 retweets 471 likes
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    3. Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

      3. Of course, many of the bigger rural gains came in the Midwest, not the South, and younger voters were largely responsible, but at the very least, it doesn’t support the causality implied in the piece: that it’s progressive policies or candidates that have caused the decline.

      12 replies 54 retweets 470 likes
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    4. Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

      Jon Favreau Retweeted Nate Silver

      4. @NateSilver538 points that out here: https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1066742114455703552?s=21 … In 2018, there was no evidence that moderate or conservative Democrats did any better in red states/red counties than progressive Democrats.

      Jon Favreau added,

      Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
      A big problem with this piece is that moderate/conservative Democrats also performed much worse in rural areas as compared with 2012. Check out Joe Manchin in 2012 vs 2018, for example. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/24/us/politics/south-race-mississippi-senate.html … pic.twitter.com/i3PCZBt5Ov
      Show this thread
      10 replies 97 retweets 443 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

      5. And yet, there was evidence that progressive policies did quite well, even in red states: MO voters approved a minimum wage increase; UT, NE, ID approved Medicaid expansion; FL approved voting rights for the formerly incarcerated; MI approved legal weed and automatic reg, etc.

      12 replies 63 retweets 468 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

      6. Clearly, polarization is real, as we can see from the growing divide between urban/suburban areas and rural/exurban areas. But evidence simply doesn’t support the implication that a) it’s caused by progressivism or b) it’s irreversible.

      5 replies 50 retweets 405 likes
      Show this thread
      Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

      7. What 2018 did prove is that Democrats can win and/or make gains everywhere with a progressive, policy-focused message on issues like health care without giving an inch on issues of equal rights and social justice.

      11:03 AM - 25 Nov 2018
      • 119 Retweets
      • 704 Likes
      • East Bay Briefly Mike Liszewski 🌙Mariac_AM🌛 Taking Action 4 US Shelley Berger Stevie J vlh nick MaryRose Mazzola (she/her)
      18 replies 119 retweets 704 likes
        1. Jon Favreau‏Verified account @jonfavs 25 Nov 2018

          8. Anyway, people who are smarter and more experienced than me talk about all of this and more in http://thewildernesspodcast.com , so check it out. And JMart is a great reporter - I just take issue with some of the conclusions implied in this piece.

          16 replies 40 retweets 354 likes
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        1. Nina Espina  ♥️ 🇺🇲 ❤️ 🌎‏ @espinaDuran 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          If I could hit like 1000x I would. Great thread.

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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        1. MFD‏ @MideOFD 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          It’s also important for D’s to focus on consensus issues in 2020 (climate, voting rights, marijuana, gun background checks) that will drive typical non-voters to the polls.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Joyce Irving‏ @arenal2 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          Even with all these gains, the elephant in the room is freedom to Vote. Tackling gerrymandering and voter suppression has to be the no. one issue before 2020. Voter machines also need to be tackled. There needs to be an easier way to cast a vote. Even if we go back to paper.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Old Democrat‏ @BCDiResta 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          What 2018 proved is that people insist on making proclamations about data that doesn't point in 1 direction. Both progressives and moderates lost.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Sean  🇺🇸 &  🇯🇲‏ @myperfectright 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          I’m glad you have pointed this out. There’s an narrative out there we’re policies gets drowned out to focus on the popularity of the candidate. If we want to beat back populism, perhaps we should focus on popular policies instead of popular candidates all the time.

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        2. Bonzai‏ @bonzaiblog 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          Democrats who pander to the poor and middle class with universal healthcare, increased minimum wage, Medicare expansion and other goodies can win big if they also condemn the Democrat establishment and effete liberalism while embracing populist “common sense”.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Bonzai‏ @bonzaiblog 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @bonzaiblog @jonfavs

          Not that I support these things, I’m just saying- they have to go rogue and connect directly with the people - we found long ago that “Republicans” were mostly amenable to big government when presented in a way they can rationalize.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Patrick‏ @CheeseWhiz 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          What few make clear is that it isn’t a change in pref. occurring so much as apathy reversed. Many “unlikely” voters are newly motivated, non-voters reaching their turnout years, & avg voters are showing for midterms; A newly-actualized will in ALL areas that was always there.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Josh Hill‏ @Hillhaus 25 Nov 2018
          Replying to @jonfavs

          I like data, so I'm biased, but I'm surprised that progressives aren't holding up the data and screaming, "our way forward works and THAT is why you feel left behind." Progressive counties control more and more of GDP -- now above 2/3.https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2016/11/29/another-clinton-trump-divide-high-output-america-vs-low-output-america/ …

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