(((JonathanWeisman)))Verified account

Because, given MOE + chance for campaign to change opinion, 6-pt deficit indicates a non-trivial chance of winning.

No. But it is Alabama. Trends matter. Margins matter.

polls are snapshots, not predictive. It shows Moore is weaker than expected and vulnerable to a modest swing.

Considering margins of error, shifts around the edges, turnout show a state where Trump won by 28 points might be competitive.

6 points in Alabama? Good lord, sure Moore will win but that margin should be 25 points+

Still, that's closer than I would have expected

Perhaps because there are 2.5 months to make up the difference, meaning a chance for a Dem in the country's 2nd most conservative state?

My guess would bc they thought the spread would be more and, well, that's progress.

There you have it folks, the election is officially over.

Turnout is important in a special election you know

well this means that the GOP is gonna have to campaign for Moore and spend money on him, and his stink will rub off on the rest

Remember Todd Akin