@AtayAmy Insanely interesting read on weighted groups in polling and the shift it causes in the results.
Thanks @Nate_Cohn. I've been wondering: How One 19-Year-Old Illinois Man Is Distorting National Polling Averages.http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/13/upshot/how-one-19-year-old-illinois-man-is-distorting-national-polling-averages.html?smprod=nytcore-iphone&smid=nytcore-iphone-share …
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"Lies, damn lies, statistics," Mark Twain. Adding to the innumeracy of America.
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this shows just how bad the polling industry has become. They can't get responses, so they upweight one guy 30x
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RACISM: When you presume a poll including a black man voting for Trump is wrong.
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Thanks, Obama...
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It matters that he black?
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yes, bc he's very rare demo (black trump voter) that rarely gets sampled but polled every time in LAT
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Thank you. Been wondering why this poll was so off.
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@AlGiordano@Nate_Cohn@nytimes I'ma go out on a limb & suggest polling is not an exact science... - 1 more reply
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Wow. That's huge. How do they account for the outlier that this campaign represents.
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