Another overly D sample, this time in WSJ/NBC poll. It's either +12 or +11D depending on how they phrase it. Absurd.
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@jonathanweisman No 1can defend a +11/12 D sample. D advantage in 2008 was +7. A bad sample is a bad sample. If I were u, I'd ? it. -
@AriFleischer I'd listen to Bill McInturff's explanation before I questioned it. He was McCain's pollster after all. No Obama agenda. -
@jonathanweisman agreed - no agenda but still a lopsided sample. It happens so pollsters usually weight the sample. They didn't do that here -
@AriFleischer@jonathanweisman do you seriously think Peter Hart & Bill McInturff don't know how to properly conduct a poll? I think they do -
@JohnJHarwood they're good pollsters, but why uncritically accept D turnout of +11/12? If I were you, I'd ask... -
@AriFleischer of course we ask. we weight by demo/geo, not party ID (it's an attitude). More Ds in this poll partly bc more cell respondents - 1 more reply
New conversation -
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@jonathanweisman@AriFleischer Did someone say it was a mistake? No, simply biased. It's an obvious outlier even among other biased polls.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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