More convincing evidence?http://www.pnas.org/content/113/10/2621 …
TIL that PNAS study about judges issuing harsher sentences before lunch was almost entirely driven by the fact that prisoners who didn't have legal representation went last before breakshttp://www.pnas.org/content/108/42/E833.full …
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I actually (unlike) other people do believe that this could be the case. Just that the effects aren't nearly as grave or as large as the popularly cited study would suggest.
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Completely agree. This is why we investigate the same issue with a large dataset. Our results show the effect of decision fatigue is there but is super small.
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Worth mentioning that the original piece authors responded to the challenge and stick to their gunshttp://www.pnas.org/content/108/42/E834?utm_source=TrendMD&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Proc_Natl_Acad_Sci_U_S_A_TrendMD_0 …
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Thanks! hadn't seen that. For me, it seems clear that unobservables could absolutely be causing order -- they "control for" some of those (ones that aren't so unobservable) and the results "don't change." What about the other unobservables the design can't address?
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True. Other things could also affect the order in which judges review cases. The Shayo and Zussman piece on small claims court is more convincing in showing how non legal factors affect judgements
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I have my small claims court appearance next week. It’s after lunch...what other unobservables may affect judgement? (This is against my property manager.)
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Are you in the right?
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I think so. But the contract is vague & there is room for interpretation. I tried to settle, to no avail. She wanted court (I actually was a small claims court mediator for 5 years in Boston).
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The rebuttal is important but the shape of the curve is also essential to understanding why this criticism is not as useful as it appears. There is a clear decline from the start. When I explain this to students I also show them the rebuttal because it’s important.
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! darn - "hangry" judges was such a great example of interrupted time-series designs cc @bmorling -
I know! And there've been other quibbles about that study, too:https://bit.ly/2ORkXvp
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This is why we need peer-preview, not just after the fact. And real peers. Not just some very similar scientists at a journal. But actual people involved in the area being studied.
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Another willpower theory debunked.
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This study is frequently put forward as an example of
#peopleanalytics and#evidencebased HRM... not quite the example it seems...Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I figured something simple was overlooked. I imagined that judges/clerks looked at cases and figured they could squeeze simple cases in before a break.
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It’s probably worth you amplifying the link to the authorial rebuttal someone provided upthread. I always share the whole chain with my students as an example of study and live critique.
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elle oh elle - that seems like willful levels of neglect
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It does sound a bit prejudicial tbqh.
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@lakens This may interest you.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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