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John Robb
@johnrobb
The Global Guerrillas Report -- Sense-making frameworks. War-Tech-Politics Book: Brave New War Patreon: patreon.com/johnrobb Substack: johnrobb.substack.com
Boston Area USjohnrobb.substack.comJoined June 2007

John Robb’s Tweets

Facebook, Twitter, Google, Apple, etc. all acting in concert. Companies that collectively control the information flow for 3 billion people Companies, without which, modern life is impossible. These companies have just announced they are in control of the US political system
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I never thought we’d get to the edge of nuclear war and there would be tens of millions of people cheering it on.
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~"Putin and Xi perceive the West as a declining power. They view the West as weak, stupid, infantile, decadent and thoroughly parasitized by a mercenary Virtual ‘elite’ class that seems more than happy to wage an internal war on their own Physical classes." @jgreehall
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Afghanistan 20 years of nation-building 2,312 US soldiers killed, 20k + wounded $2.4 trillion spent -- $114,285 for every person in the country, at the time we arrived Collapses immediately upon the start of withdrawal
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Agree or disagree with the decision, this points to one thing. The corporations are running the country now.
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DeSantis: “If you riot, you are going to jail, and you are going to have to spend time in jail. If you assault law enforcement in a violent assembly, you are definitely going to go to jail. You burn down somebody’s business. ...”
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“Buying a car today is an investment into the future. I think the most profound thing is that if you buy a Tesla today, I believe you are buying an appreciating asset – not a depreciating asset (due to the self-driving AI)."
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I think we’ve been completely successful with one thing in Ukraine. We’ve, against all odds, found a way to turn a regional war into an event that could end the world.
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This isn't the corner grocer capitalism our parents grew up with. This is a networked world. These companies have a stranglehold on small business formation/success. Our access to the public square Our ability to find/get a job. Our access to personal communications.
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Singapore is open sourcing its contact tracing app, Trace Together. Essentially, if you were within 6 feet of someone else with the app who becomes positive later, you will be notified.
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Facebook's "whistleblower" Frances Haugen is telling us that Facebook is dangerous because it doesn't monitor, spy, censor, limit, enforce, and ban enough.
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This goes way beyond Trump. Disconnecting a politician from social networking = loss of political viability. Corporations can now unilaterally dictate who can and cannot be a politician. Does anyone else see the BIG problem with this?
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US forces being surrounded in Kabul is a military blunder but it isn't discussed. We fought a war over WMDs that didn't exist, but nobody was held accountable. 95% of PPE production was outsourced to China (etc.), so we didn't have enough when COVID arrived. Crickets. cont.
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If we had the current leadership in the west during the '50s, we'd never have made it out of the '50s alive.
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Trump is exploiting a critical flaw in the US election system. The data sucks and it won't improve. In fact, it's so bad that any and all claims based on it are suspect from the start. The entire process currently rests on a leap of faith that it is approximately correct.
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Why are there 20,000 plus troops in DC with more mobilizing? It's not for the defense of the event. It's symbolic. It unambiguously answers the question (common in banana republics): Who do the generals and the military support?
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In other words. The networked corporations have far more power over your life than the government does. We have protections against government power. Zero against network power.
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Taliban forces are only a handful of miles from Kabul. They can simply drive up to Kabul's airport and either shut it down with mortars or take it in a coup de main, before the evacuation is complete. At that point, it's not just an embarrassment, it's a military disaster.
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Translation: Any social networking or communications app that isn't under the control of the big platforms, and therefore subject to their AI-fueled 'moderation' will be branded as a threat.
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On January 6, when a mob stormed the Capitol, some far-right extremists in homes across America and on the ground in Washington, DC, used the unencrypted, walkie-talkie-like app Zello to communicate with each other in real time. cbsn.ws/3svkB0c
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Afghanistan 20 years of: > experienced people saying don't do nation-building, it won't work. > troops returning from Afghanistan confirming it wasn't working. >20 years of the establishment ignoring this insight and feedback, thinking they know one weird trick.
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Has there ever been a civilization where so many people are disconnected from the knowledge and skills required for maintaining that civilization (from agriculture to manufacturing to warfare)?
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"World War III is a guerrilla information war with no division between military and civilian participation." Marshall McLuhan (1970)
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The banks knew, for years, that CDOs were risky and toxic but they sold them anyway to pension funds, making the financial crash possible. Nada. I could go on and on. Nothing real is being discussed. Nothing is being corrected. Nobody is held accountable (just the opposite).
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Not only that. Even at the most fundamental level, the system is broken. We don't even own our data. Data about us and what we do. These companies are allowed to strip mine our data and turn it into AIs and services worth TRILLIONS.
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A pattern: Experts advocate a policy that creates a crisis. When questioned, these experts deny there is a crisis. Clear thinking non-experts speak out about the crisis. Experts tell the non-experts to shut up because we are now in a crisis.
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One good explanation is that we are suffering from is that our system is suffering from rampant: "assumption rot" Any answer for a crisis that calls into question ANY of core assumptions is automatically filtered out of the public discussion as unrealistic or ill-informed.
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Kabul's single point of failure: Kabul's airport only has a single runway. High altitude + heavy planes (lots of fuel + lots of cargo/people) = need for the entire runway. Any runway damage can shut it down. Civilian airport: exposed planes, fuel, equipment, etc.
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COVID was China's Chernobyl (per my January 2020 GG Report). However, unlike the USSR's Chernobyl, China turned COVID into a victory by externalizing the damage and getting the world to agree that it wasn't their fault.
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Tale of two neighboring states. ~Same amount of testing. One governor actively reinforces the network's response to the pandemic. The other acts reluctantly. Here's the results.
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If Milley truly believed he was doing the right thing -- preventing a nuclear war by committing treason -- he should admit to it and accept the punishment.
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Starlink is now a military system.
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Replying to @thetimes
Aerorozvidka most sophisticated drones are connected using Starlink, a system donated by Elon Musk that uses satellites in a low orbit to enable “high data rate” activities thetimes.co.uk/article/elon-m
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The rioters on Jan 6 assumed the establishment's extreme passivity towards the left's 2020 rioting (~2,400 policemen hospitalized, ~140 federal facilities damaged, thousands of businesses damaged/destroyed, church/police station burned, looting) would apply to them. It didn't.
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Watch Kabul's airport. It's a single point of failure for the entire US operation. Lose that before the evacuation is complete and NATO will be negotiating the terms of their surrender (reparations to the Taliban).
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In other words: we will do what we did in Iraq and Afghanistan in the US.
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Veteran CIA officer and former deputy DNI Sue Gordon calls for a "9/11 Commission kind of activity" to apply "lessons that we learned in the fight against foreign terrorism" to battle domestic extremism pbs.org/newshour/show/
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History doesn't repeat. It rhymes. The central passage of the Reichstag Fire Decree The incident, and the response that followed, paved the way for the corporatist (fascist) take over of Germany.
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How did they end up in WW3? An open source network escalated a response to a regional war to the level of nuclear confrontation. Why didn't anyone stop it? The network moved too fast, there were too many people participating in it, and it was impossible to turn off.
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These folks don't look at Zuckerberg, Dorsey, Cook, Pichai, etc., and think: "They have too much control over people, let's give people more control over their lives" They are envious of them. They think they could wield this power better, as the lords and ladies of big tech.
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Harsher punishments if committed 'in furtherance of a riot.' "For instance, a burglary committed by a rioter would be elevated from a third-degree felony, punishable by up to five years in prison, to a second-degree felony punishable by up to 15 years in prison."
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They don't want to correct the problems (through digital rights and data ownership); they want *control* over the ability of big tech to censor, nudge, limit, enforce, spy, ban, punish, etc.
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Pandemics and authoritarianism go together like apple and pie. Key indicator: watch for indications that political danger is being recast in the language of the pandemic.
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If the US can't even fix rampant price gouging in insulin, one of the most commonly used generic drugs in the world, how can we expect it to reform health care? ___ This is an old chart. A patient in the US now pays up to 15x more for insulin now than in most other countries.
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What's going on? We are being mentally rewired by the technologies of social networking. It's an involuntary process. That mental rewiring is forcing a reorganization of society. Those changes are dangerous during the early phases (think: printing press/30-years war)
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Remember that the US State Department was still forcing citizens to pay a $2,000 repatriation fee (more for non-citizens) until August 20th, five days after the fall of Kabul.
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Remember this day: "Fascism is when you can't slip a cigarette paper between the interests of the government and corporate business interests" -Mussolini In this Century, as opposed to the last, the corporations have the upper hand, not the government.
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The good news? I found all of the new yellow jacket nests in my yard when I was out mowing this morning. The bad news? I found out the hard way. lol
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A global tribal network and aligned corporations disconnected a sitting US president. It's in the process of disconnecting an entire nuclear superpower now.
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Is there an example of a complex society or civilization that has advanced by decreasing the amount of energy they use?
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'Misinformation' and 'disinformation' isn't the terminology of a free and open society. It's the terminology of authoritarians. Authoritarians use these terms to criminalize any information they don't approve of.
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101 Second Amendment sanctuaries formed. County militias too.
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Networked #insurgency moving quickly in VA. Up to 93 communities. 79 four days ago. vcdl.org/?fbclid=IwAR1-
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"U.S. Capitol Police will start using Army surveillance equipment to monitor Americans as part of a larger effort to improve security and turn the force into “an intelligence-based protective agency"
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Blocks defunding of police: "If a city reduces police funding, any resident could file an objection with the governor’s office, which would have the authority to amend or modify the budget."
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As expected, the new Green Zone in DC has become permanent. We might see another exclusion zone for the HQs of hedge funds and investment banks in the not too distant future too.
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PERMANENT SECURITY FENCING coming to US Capitol. New statement from acting US Capitol Police chief: "Vast improvements to the physical security infrastructure must be made to include permanent fencing"
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#thelongnight of networked authoritarianism is descending on Canada.
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Imagine this same scenario - where everyone is in #digitalID system. There will be no need for strong-arm tactics nor police intimidation. The state will simply "lock you out" of society if you do not comply. DigitalID = global surveillance & absolute compliance. #FreedomConvoy twitter.com/elleprovocateu…
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This specific instance aside, this is an interesting concept. The idea of a product that gains in value the longer you own it, because the longer you own it, the more it learns...
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The soft coup of networked power: Network power > State power Terms of Service > Bill of Rights Social AIs replace secret police Social deplatforming replaces arrest and imprisonment (for dissidents)
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"Toppling a statue or damaging a tomb would be a second-degree felony punishable by up to 15 years in prison. Causing more than $200 in damage to a monument would be a third-degree felony, punishable by up to five years in prison."
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That GoT episode... ....from the perspective of someone who has spent an inordinate amount of time studying ancient warfare... ...the battle plan for the defense of Winterfell was very, very weak.
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New definitions for a riot: "a public disturbance of at least three people with a “common intent.." A new crime of aggravated rioting... if the disturbance involves nine or more people and results in “great bodily harm,” property damage over $5,000 or blocks traffic..."
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The speed at which the US has fallen to corporate authoritarianism has been astounding. At this rate, we'll be less free than China by the end of the month.
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Ransomware that shuts down pipelines and hospitals isn't criminality, it's terrorism. That's over the line. Make it real for them. Find them and their syndicate. Put their faces on playing cards. Set bounties and take direct action. Remove them from the board.
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How to prevent the Long Night: 1) Digital Bill of Rights. Rights and responsibilities for online speech and access. 2) Digital ownership. You own your online data (everything collected on you). 3) Digital economy. Open and fair access to online economic opportunity.
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Google just jumped onboard, joining the other big companies and thousands of small ones. The corporate takeover of the US political system continues.
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#Breaking: Google has suspended President Trump’s YouTube account and disabled its comments.
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What nobody is asking: What concessions did the US make to the Taliban in order to avoid catastrophe in Kabul?
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Hyper-reality vertigo When any attempt to question something ludicrous being claimed by the establishment -- WMDs in Iraq are real, nobody is to blame for the financial crisis, the pandemic occurred naturally -- is treated as conspiracy thinking.
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NPC = a person whose responses are so predictable due to ideological capture that it is possible to replace them in an online conversation with a bot programmed with the same ideology and nobody would notice.
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What we're seeing in Afghanistan is a great demonstration of how to switch realms of warfare. From guerrilla warfare fought in the moral realm (and given the rapid collapse of the ANA, a complete success) to maneuver warfare fought in the psychological realm (more success).
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This is what we call "operating inside your opponent's OODA loop" (see: John Boyd's work for more). They are making decisions and executing them faster than the US is, and with each decision-making cycle, they are getting further ahead.
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Q: What's not being talked about when it comes to the Afghanistan crisis? A: That the Taliban could turn the evacuation into a siege at any moment.
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The reason the world isn't a smoking crater right now (the WW3 that never happened) is due to the caution and care with which we escalated confrontations with our nuclear opponents. That, apparently, is not the case anymore.
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I don't think most people appreciate how quickly data-fueled surveillance state technology has advanced over the last twenty years. There are systems right now that can monitor, understand and modify the conversations of billions of people simultaneously, in real-time.
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This is a lie. There was tear gas at the Capital. Flash bangs. Pepper spray by the bucketload. Batons. Punches. A killing. It is possible to condemn this event and the people who participated in it, without lying. We're already off to a bad start.
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.@KamalaHarris: "We witnessed two systems of justice when we saw one that let extremists storm the United States Capitol, and another that released tear gas on peaceful protesters last summer...We know this is unacceptable. We know we should be better than this."
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How big tech controls elections (in the US and around the world): 1) News flow. Amplify/dampen. 2) Page/site flow. Search amplify/dampen. Soft bans. Warnings. 3) Public debate. Topic amplify/dampen. Warnings. 4) Politicians. Bans/suspensions. Fact checks. Refuse ads.
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A classic: "In 1982, Larry "Lawnchair" Walters and his girlfriend bought 45 eight-foot weather balloons and enough tanks of helium to fill them." "His plan was to take off from his home in San Pedro, California and simply float 30 feet above his backyard for a few hours."
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The simple fact is that there isn't a replacement for Twitter. It is a pre-war network. Nothing like it could be built today.
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Nothing confuses people more in this tribalized environment than tweeting an idea without tribal signaling attached to it.
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