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john mcclean
john mcclean
john mcclean
@johnmcclean_ie

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john mcclean

@johnmcclean_ie

Joined July 2015

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    john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020

    Ireland cases update. 362 cases yesterday. Rapid decay of nearly 6% per day. Linear scale : Orange dots : cases Red line : exponential growth Dashed Green : Growth Rate Heavy Green Line : exponential decay (exp fit r^2 rising) https://twitter.com/johnmcclean_ie/status/1325020636297760768 …pic.twitter.com/D8MXdXz1zN

    3:34 PM - 11 Nov 2020
    • 6 Likes
    • sisia Dominik Hayon Yvonne Spiczynski Moritz S. Dr. Safa Mote Derrick VanGennep
    2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020

        Could mean as low as ~30 cases per day by Christmas or ~120 by 1st of December if current rate of decay continues.pic.twitter.com/vNR9YzrNsM

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Show this thread
      3. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020

        john mcclean Retweeted john mcclean

        We're unlikely to stay at Level 5 beyond the 1st of December, but could mass testing with Rapid Tests drive covid down further? Keeping an eye on Slovakia, where cases have fallen after 2 rounds of testing the population.https://twitter.com/johnmcclean_ie/status/1326466430221561856?s=20 …

        john mcclean added,

        john mcclean @johnmcclean_ie
        Slovakia update. 2,058 new cases in Slovakia. Cases have been rising over the last few days from a low of 577. The 2nd phase of mass testing was completed at the weekend and likely is not taking effect yet. These cases are independent of the 57k +ve -> tests mass screening https://twitter.com/johnmcclean_ie/status/1326133924335153152 … pic.twitter.com/b0EH7FQCzZ
        Show this thread
        3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        Show this thread
      4. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020

        john mcclean Retweeted john mcclean

        This isn't a casedemic, as is clear from European data now - European daily deaths are very close to the 1st wave peak and EU daily covid deaths are ~15% lower.https://twitter.com/johnmcclean_ie/status/1326515486281101313?s=20 …

        john mcclean added,

        john mcclean @johnmcclean_ie
        Replying to @PatKennyNT
        For anyone who still believes in casedemics. Daily deaths in Europe and the European Union. Both waves, linear scale. pic.twitter.com/s8bbVdt7cv
        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
        Show this thread
      5. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020

        Incidence in Ireland continues to fall :-pic.twitter.com/410fj453is

        1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
        Show this thread
      6. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020

        john mcclean Retweeted IllustrateThis

        Ireland is a stand out covid performer in Europe.https://twitter.com/illustratethis/status/1326259983525277696?s=20 …

        john mcclean added,

        IllustrateThis @illustratethis
        ➡️The rate of cases in the Republic is one of the lowest in Europe. ➡️NI's rate is more than 3 times that of the Republic, but by European standards - it’s doing better that average. pic.twitter.com/SkLSwuvlez
        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        Show this thread
      7. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020

        john mcclean Retweeted Stuart Neilson

        Opening back up could see cases rise to 200 per day by Christmas and 1,000 per day after 2 months -https://twitter.com/StuartDNeilson/status/1326524198664216576 …

        john mcclean added,

        Stuart Neilson @StuartDNeilson
        #Ireland still heading for 100 cases per day in 1st week of December, but cases will start rising as soon as lockdown is lifted - current test, trace & isolate is not sufficient to keep cases below 100 per day. +31% / week from June 22-Oct 16 -40% / week since Oct 16 pic.twitter.com/K1dNSivQrS
        Show this thread
        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        Show this thread
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Derrick VanGennep‏ @VanGennepD 11 Nov 2020
        Replying to @johnmcclean_ie

        Not sure if you saw this already:https://www.irishcentral.com/news/irish-doctor-suggests-delaying-christmas-covid#.X6xtfdHtS9g.twitter …

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 11 Nov 2020
        Replying to @VanGennepD

        Yes - I did. That’s @TJRyan_77 ! Avoiding endless lockdowns and getting covid to a level manageable by targeted public health is a big challenge..

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. End of conversation

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