2. The dominant narrative is something like "the world's fires are getting far worse, and climate change is to blame". This is very widespread in current media. 3. This dominant narrative seems to be misleading: something much more complicated is true.
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Odgovor korisnicima @michael_nielsen @johncarlosbaez
4. Climate change is, in some places, both making more and more intense fire. 5. On net, there is far less fire across the world, for different causal reasons.
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Odgovor korisnicima @michael_nielsen @johncarlosbaez
6. Irrespective of 5, point 4 is a tragedy, and should be addressed. Point 5 has much to commend it, though the causal factors are a complicated mix of desirable and undesirable.
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Odgovor korisnicima @michael_nielsen @johncarlosbaez
7. There is broadly very little awareness of 3/5. I'm concerned that this is based on what is essentially tribalistic thinking in the media that leads to the emergence of a (wrong) dominant narrative
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Odgovor korisnicima @michael_nielsen @johncarlosbaez
8. I'm not terribly concerned if one article in Forbes is wrong. But it concerns me when dominant narratives are badly wrong; I'm trying to understand climate and energy, and it's hard to avoid having dominant narratives infect your thinking.
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Odgovor korisniku/ci @michael_nielsen
I agree with points 1-8. I am constantly battling the tendency to fall in line with the "dominant narrative" saying that the world is doomed due to climate change, and that everything is a sign of the world falling apart. (1/n)
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Odgovor korisnicima @johncarlosbaez @michael_nielsen
That is, I'm battling this tendency in myself - in part because this dominant narrative tends to make me want to give up and just enjoy the rest of my life. In this respect it's very much like the *other* dominant narrative, "climate change is not a big deal". (2/n)
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Odgovor korisnicima @johncarlosbaez @michael_nielsen
It's hard to hold in mind the idea that we're facing huge problems, we won't completely solve them, we won't completely fail to solve them, and what we do can make a difference. (3/n)
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Odgovor korisnicima @johncarlosbaez @michael_nielsen
I think Saul Griffith was correct when he said it's bad to have climate scientists dominating the non-denialist conversation on climate change. They are good at detecting problems but not so good at figuring out solutions - because that's not their specialty. (4/n)
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Odgovor korisnicima @johncarlosbaez @michael_nielsen
Luckily the conversation has reached the point where the denialist strategy of spreading doubt and confusion is losing its power. We are moving on to the next step: figuring what to do. Here we need the boundless enthusiasm of engineers and entrepreneurs! (5/n)
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A good engineer or entrepreneur can fail a hundred times but keep bouncing back - making up better solutions to fix what went wrong the last time. We need a few hundred million people like that, working on climate change from all directions! (6/n, n = 6)
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Odgovor korisniku/ci @johncarlosbaez
Something I really enjoy about this is that there are (at least) tens of millions of people working on energy! And a considerable fraction are either working on decarbonization or thinking pretty hard about it. (This is true of most of the oil and gas people I've met, too!)
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Odgovor korisnicima @michael_nielsen @johncarlosbaez
Just thinking about that estimated number. It's almost certainly > 10 million (based on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_companies_by_revenue …, and the size of the energy industry in $). But maybe "tens of millions" is an over-estimate.
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