Much higher than average turnout being detected by SNP, Tories and Labour. Some local activists reporting a jump of 10%, others even higher.
2016 turnout was 55.6%.
Is this linked to the pandemic and people not having much else to do?
#SP21
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Ex Labour policy chief
@FisherAndrew79 tells@SophyRidgeSky Starmer’s election campaign was ‘vacuous’. ‘It’s been a terrible campaign.’@ayeshahazarika says she agrees.Näytä tämä ketju -
Labour sources say that from vote sampling their seat of East Lothian is 'too close to call' (SNP target, 1.6% swing needed). Labour majority is 1,127 but incumbent Iain Gray (ex Scottish Labour leader) standing down. Equivalent Westminster seat has flip-flopped Lab/SNP.
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SNP sources think high turnout will benefit them. Senior Tory sources agreeing. As ever interesting to see if there is tactical voting between the unionist parties to stop the SNP.
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The first SNP gain: SNP take East Lothian from Labour. Their vote up 4.4 points. But SNP are likely to lose a list seat because of this win. So net gain could be zero.
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SNP HOLD
@NicolaSturgeon comfortably retains Glasgow Southside after a challenge from@AnasSarwar. NS - 19735 AS - 10279Näytä tämä ketju -
SNP HOLD Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn SNP - 16,428 Lab - 8,504 Con - 2,241 LD - 688
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SNP HOLD
@HumzaYousaf holds on to Glasgow Pollock with increased majority. SNP - 18,163 Lab - 11,058 Con - 1,849 Greens - 1,651 LD - 522 Majority of 7105, up from 6,482.Näytä tämä ketju -
SNP GAIN Ayr from Conservatives. But like East Lothian it’s another South Scotland seat which by the time the regional list is announced will actually be a net change of 0.
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CON HOLD in the Borders seat of Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire. As expected. But the losing SNP candidate is energy minister
@PaulWheelhouse. He is now unlikely to win a list seat because of his party’s success gaining two constituency seats (East Lothian and Ayr).Näytä tämä ketju -
NEW:
@NicolaSturgeon tells@adamboultonSKY an SNP majority is ‘in the balance’ and was ‘always a long shot’. Argues she is ‘quietly confident’ of taking another seat from Tories today (must mean Edinburgh Central). Says Labour’s results in England are ‘catastrophic’.#SP21pic.twitter.com/Q12xtNRoMQ
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TORIES HOLD DUMFRIESSHIRE
@olivermundell (son of local MP and ex Scottish Secretary@DavidMundellDCT) fights off SNP challenge.Näytä tämä ketju -
SNP GAIN EDINBURGH CENTRAL
@AngusRobertson returns. And this is a real gain. Net +1. The SNP can’t lose any list seats in consequence because in Lothian they have none.Näytä tämä ketju -
LABOUR HOLD EDINBURGH SOUTHERN @Daniel4Southern is re-elected in SNP target seat. Lab - 20,760 SNP - 16,738
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LABOUR HOLD DUMBARTON Labour’s Jackie Baillie has held the seat uninterrupted for 22 years.
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Fun fact: The Glasgow regional ballots are two feet long. To accommodate the 22 parties and candidates. Difficult for the counters to unfurl. And difficult for activists to sample.
#SP21pic.twitter.com/hORy8HTT6C
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SNP HOLD ABERDEENSHIRE EAST Lab 2,900 SNP 18,307 Con 16,418 LB 3,397 SNP majority reduced from 5,837 to 1,889.
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In Aberdeen where counting is underway for the crucial SNP target constituency of Aberdeenshire West. Tory majority = 900. An SNP win would be a net gain as they have no seats on the North East regional list.pic.twitter.com/FYatAOZ0TJ
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SNP sources say there is ‘no chance’ Alex Salmond will win a regional list seat. His former Aberdeenshire constituency of Banff and Buchan would have been the best place to pick up votes. But early sampling suggests he’s not got anywhere near enough support.
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NEW: Source on Alex Salmond’s campaign team concedes that the Alba Party are unlikely to win a single seat. ‘We’re shot.’ But I’m told the party will continue to their fight for Scottish independence.
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NEW: Conservative sources say they have a ‘very narrow’ lead in the key SNP target of Aberdeenshire West. But it is ‘incredibly tight’. Tories defending a majority of just 900.
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CON HOLD Galloway & West Dumfries An SNP target.
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Fergus Mutch, SNP candidate in Aberdeenshire West, is at count surrounded by activists with his arms folded. SNP not optimistic about a gain. Result soon.
#SP21pic.twitter.com/Wk5ffzcNYG
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Tories cheering in Aberdeen. Sounds like West is a Con hold. Result imminent.
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BREAK: Conservatives HOLD Aberdeenshire West. It makes an SNP majority all but impossible.
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28 seconds that say so much. (From yesterday’s North East regional count).
#Salmond#Alba#SP21pic.twitter.com/yjwCo0DRHSNäytä tämä ketju -
NEW: Labour’s Pam Duncan-Glancy is the first wheelchair user to be elected to Holyrood. Earlier the SNP’s
@kaukabstewart became the first female ethnic minority MSP. Both from Glasgow.https://twitter.com/GlasgowPam/status/1391085964093763588 …
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NORTH EAST SCOTLAND LIST Con = 4 (-) Lab = 2 (-) Greens = 1 (+1) LD = 0 (-1) Alex Salmond fails to get elected.
#SP21Näytä tämä ketju
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