Reform is needed. But, there’s no doubt, incarceration makes us safer UNLESS / UNTIL effective alternative programs are in place. You cannot simply set criminals free, knowing the alternative programs are missing / broken, and pretend you’re not putting the public at risk.
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Replying to @jnperri @chesaboudin
Our epidemiologists tell us that incarcerating people in our mass incarceration system is of greater risk than allowing them to go free. And have specified that
@chesaboudin should release another 27%pic.twitter.com/qVakwpdW9W
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Replying to @netfire4 @chesaboudin
No question. By releasing criminals from prison, we are reducing the risks of covid. But, in exchange, we are increasing the risks of being robbed, assaulted, and murdered. So, I’m not so sure epidemiological risk should be the primary measure here.
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I agree with you on the middle ground. But, there is an order of operations required to get it right. First, you need the alternative ‘treatment’ programs, then we can route individuals there instead of prison. Skipping that first step is not real ‘reform.’ It’s negligence.
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It would be negligence for Chesa to ignore magical guidance and hold more than 600 people. To not be negligent he needs to release another 27% or about 235.pic.twitter.com/iQjNJkGXmC
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All this chart shows is the decline in SF jail population. Where is the purported upside? Or, is that the ‘magical’ part of the guidance?
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Upside is that our jail has not had a coronavirus outbreak that threatened the public at large. Epidemiologists emphasize that incarceration is especially unsafe in this moment of pandemic for the public.
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Instead we have burglaries and break-ins, car thefts too numerous to count, and a post apocalyptic overdose spiral we can’t get a handle on, that’s some upside.
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Replying to @left_on_alpha @jnperri and
Yet as our epidemiologists emphasize that reality is much less dangerous to all of our lives than our overcrowded mass incarceration system.
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The epidemiologists are only calculating the health risk. That’s one side of the equation. To understand relative risks, we need both sides of the equation. Can you point to any evidence regarding risks related to decarceration without alternative, diversion programs in place?
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Replying to @jnperri @left_on_alpha and
Sure given that we have 5% of the population and 25% of the prisoners, all other first world countries are examples that we can safely have less mass incarceration.
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Replying to @netfire4 @left_on_alpha and
Apples are also crunchier than Oranges.
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End of conversation
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