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I spent weeks researching & writing my 2020 technology predictions.
Time for some fun (thread)
1. Future of Face ID: Apple won the early days of face authentication, which they’ll aggressively expand as a replacement for email & passwords.
Google, Amazon, Facebook will...Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
An old friend who watched my career the past 10 years sent a note that said "I'm really proud of you." She saw me join a startup that struggled in 2011. She saw me try to launch my own startup & fail in 2014. The road looks easy on Twitter, but it's not. Meant the world to me.
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I asked a founder yesterday how his startup is going. He looked me in the eyes & said “I don’t think we’re gonna make it.” No fluff or ego protection. He was honest & we had a real conversation. Too many people hide their failures. It’s okay to say things aren’t working.
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D2C will be one of the most insane trends in venture history. The valuations & return profiles do not make sense for large funds. But I do have some pretty nice indoor plants and reading glasses, so I guess that's cool.
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The art of telling people you're busy on emails: 1. Never use uppercase letters. Holding down Shift isn't a good use of your time. 2. No complete sentences. The more fragments, the busier you will appear to be. 3. CC people who can respond to questions on your behalf.
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My two favorite Kobe photos: As a young player, shooting free throws at practice with a broken shooting hand wearing pajamas. As an older player, his entire body wrapped in ice & tape so he could play the game he loved for us. The city of Los Angeles is devastated today.pic.twitter.com/ixD2diaz77
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Growth stage startups will keep fundraising from other companies like Stripe because: 1. Corp dev teams don’t have LPs & not focused on billion dollar outcomes 2. Strategics are generous with terms because they’re not trying to return funds 3. Board pressures different w VCs
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If you're building a messaging app: You have to build something so amazing that people will go to their iMessage conversations & convince friends/family/co-workers to download a new app. If you've ever tried telling friends to move convos to an app, you know how hard this is.
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Investors should ask about “experimentation metrics” during diligence but don’t: 1. Velocity: how many experiments do you ship daily/weekly/monthly/yearly? 2. Quality: what % of experiments lead to meaningful insights? 3. Roadmap: what experiments will you run this year?
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In a world of infinite SaaS products, there is little shared data about software expenses at startups. Founders start companies & are surprised by the cost of software for every team. Is there a place for founders to share anonymized balance sheet data? This should exist.
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Front Series C is a sneaky big moment in VC. Investors: Mike Cannon-Brookes (Atlassian) Jay Simons (Atlassian) Frederic Kerrest (Okta) Eric Yuan (Zoom) I've heard of other hot companies structuring later stage rounds with super angels instead of VCs. Even more competition.
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In a "group think" industry, being a contrarian in VC means: 1. Don't let other investors do diligence for you 2. Build a financial model w/ ownership goals & max. valuations & actually "say no" when deals don't fit the model 3. Have a thesis rather than being "opportunistic"
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Going to miss Grandpa Dick. He loved tennis, traveling, Mauna Kea, hamburgers & his family. An incredibly hard worker who went to the office every morning even when he was 90+ years old. Could make a stranger laugh & talk to anybody. Thanks for everything you taught me
pic.twitter.com/G1WdkX7167
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How to “flex” when you’re a distributed employee: 1. Buy a fancy microphone for Zoom calls - you’ll sound like an talk show host. 2. Add unique background behind video calls - standard wallpaper is so 2010’s. 3. Lighting is everything - pick good light to look like a TV star.
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The comments in this thread are my favorite ever from a tweet that I’ve written. Amazing to see people open up about their own lives & careers. Very powerful.https://twitter.com/jmj/status/1219426014478000128 …
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Something sad about entrepreneurs who lose their risk tolerance as they get older. Like seeing a talented artist give up their dreams for a desk job. I’m at the age where this is happening more often in my friend group. Same thoughts go through my head sometimes too.
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I’ve learned on a distributed team: 1. Distributed teams don’t want workplace to feel synchronous 2. Products building “virtual offices” don’t know remote psychology 3. Remote teams don’t want co-workers to see which apps they’re working in, just like they don’t want that IRL
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Zoom should create their own App Store to allow developers to build & monetize workplace apps. Like Apple & Google, Zoom can become an operating system for distributed work. The current Zoom product reminds me of the original iPhone. Very polished but needs more fun.
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I discovered "Zoom Face Filters" today: The filter "retouches your video with a soft focus & smooths the skin tone on your face to present a polished appearance." We want the same tools at work that we have at home. Everything enterprise becomes consumer. ht
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I like the idea of every app having a "simple mode" and an "advanced mode": "Simple" is the single most important use case that everyone actually cares about with a streamlined experience. "Advanced" is everything else that PMs and Designers create.
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My friends grandma uses Uber to get around town. Last year, Uber updated their app & changed the UI. The update rocked her world & she couldn't figure it out. My friend built an app that lets her send a text message to request a ride. No UI. No fancy interface. It worked.
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