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jmhorp's profile
Jeremy Horpedahl 🍍🍞
Jeremy Horpedahl 🍍🍞
Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞
@jmhorp

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Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞

@jmhorp

Dad. Economist. Pineapples. Bread.

Conway, AR
uca.edu/efirm/facultys…
Joined February 2009

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    1. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

      Next education (college). If you just look at costs (and do a "hours to buy 4 years of tuition" calc), college is indeed more expensive (about 4x) But that's only half the story! Wage premium has also increased. Put those two together, and college is half the "cost" of 1970spic.twitter.com/XwRdcpkYJM

      7 replies 7 retweets 41 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

      Source on education: https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2014/09/the-value-of-a-college-degree.html …

      2 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
      Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

      Now the big one: healthcare. And on this one I don't have one neat number to compare. But I do know that just looking at, say, the cost of health insurance, or a night in the hospital, is the wrong approach. Those things get you much more and better healthcare than in the 1970s!

      9:28 AM - 1 May 2019
      • 2 Retweets
      • 9 Likes
      • Angry Daenjangnyuh Swimbeast_1🌐 Dustin Joshua Black Scronkfinkle Rquebus Priya Ghose Edward Teller David Isaksen
      2 replies 2 retweets 9 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

          Think about prescription drugs. They are getting more expensive! But part of that is driven by *new* drugs. If we just look at the basket of drugs available *in 1970* and compare to prices of those same drugs today, I can guarantee they will be much, much cheaper

          2 replies 2 retweets 17 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

          What about medical procedures? My brother got a life-saving double lung transplant last year. It cost something like a half million dollars! Expensive! But what did it cost in 1970? Trick question! The cost was infinite. The first successful DL transplant wasn't until 1986

          1 reply 2 retweets 34 likes
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        4. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

          And while we lag other countries on outcomes like infant mortality, we have still seen dramatic improvements since the 1970s The infant mortality rate in 1970 was 19.9. In 2017 it was 5.7 (source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SPDYNIMRTINUSA …)

          2 replies 2 retweets 13 likes
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        5. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

          So again, I don't have one single metric we can look to for health care. I'm open to suggestions! But health care involves so many different costs and so many measured outcomes, that it is hard to see the big picture. But a graph with a line going up over time is useless

          3 replies 2 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 1

          Let me conclude by preempting any charges of Panglossianism: I think we can and should do better on all these! And I have ideas! But claims that two-income families are "trapped" by spending more on these three areas ignores the important point that THEY ARE BETTER END THREAD

          6 replies 8 retweets 37 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 2

          Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞 Retweeted Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞

          Addendum on Housing:https://twitter.com/jmhorp/status/1124045067340197901 …

          Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞 added,

          Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞 @jmhorp
          In response to some comments on a prior thread (square footage is cheating, need to use median wage, we care about impact on household budget), I created a new graph to show housing costs over time. While 1973 is the best year on here, 2009-2018 compares favorably with mid-1970s pic.twitter.com/aKpjXOg7FA
          Show this thread
          0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
          Show this thread
        8. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Ryan McCormick‏ @imryanmccormick May 2
          Replying to @jmhorp

          I really like the data you've presented, but you cannot hand-wave the cost of insurance by simply saying we have better care. Premiums have been on percentage increases 2-3-4-5x CPI for the last 15 years, you can't say medical care quality followed this trend over the same time.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Jeremy Horpedahl  🍍 🍞‏ @jmhorp May 2
          Replying to @imryanmccormick

          I don't want to hand wave it completely, but it really is just a poor number to look at. Infant mortality is 30% of what it was in 1970. How much is that worth? I don't know, but it's worth something!

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Ryan McCormick‏ @imryanmccormick May 3
          Replying to @jmhorp

          Agreed, but if you relegate the view from say 2005 to present, infant mortality didn't decline much, but insurance costs have more than doubled, approaching tripling. In that shorter time period, it's a very apt number to evaluate.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        5. End of conversation

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