WELCOME TO RATIONALIA. My model of the expected utility of your trip demands I should deny you entry, as you'd have more fun at home.
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remind muh?
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I don't think you understand what "based on the weight of evidence" means.
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I actually had one of the smartest of the "thats a dumb idea" tweets.
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Over emphasis on data often ignores human costs, which can be bad: ex. Robert McNamara.
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For example medicine functions this way. We act based on the weight of "the best available evidence".
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we know well that it's all probability driven but better than based on phantasm or public pressure.
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