@jessesingal link?
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New conversation
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@Sahelanth Gelman confirms weirdness afoot: http://andrewgelman.com/2015/07/09/hey-guess-what-there-really-is-a-hot-hand/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Sahelanth oh if it was just WJS I'd be with you. But Gelman wouldn't fall for thatThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Sahelanth I think I'm intuitively failing to understand difference between one flip and the probability of a given sequence etc etcThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@jessesingal The way they average seems to introduce the bias. There are the same # of 'H then T' as 'H then H': https://gist.github.com/langton/f3f38f990f319c1607bd …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@jessesingal@MeghnaWBUR Conditional probabilities differ from random distributions. Same as 2/3 wins by switching doors on Price is Right!Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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