This article on overconfidence is one of the best I have ever written http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/16/why-pundits-keep-making-often-wrong-presidential-predictions.html …
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This article on overconfidence is one of the best I have ever written http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/16/why-pundits-keep-making-often-wrong-presidential-predictions.html …