We aren’t returning to the 2019 status quo in the US if the pandemic lasts 12-18 months or more.
Economics of many industries can’t survive a year of depressed revenue. College, airlines, theaters, retail, restaurants, so much will change.
Worth formulating a precise bet.
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Another possible future
- there's a vaccine in 12-18 months
- people mostly go back to how they were living before but with greater awareness of pandemic risk twitter.com/balajis/status…
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