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Agree. Yeah the thing is that exchanges aren't incentivized to police these oracle attacks b/c it actually brings much-needed/sorely-missed spot volume to their own venue (while they can argue the loss occurs on the derivatives exchanges). So only industry-pressure would do it.
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Oracles are only responsible for reporting the truth, not for controlling events or even what people do with the truth. To spot exchanges, the behavior is neither good nor bad. A robust index, like is much less vulnerable to being influenced by a market anomaly.
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So, it is not so much an attack on the oracle as it is the exploitation of a naive counter party. The sucker accepted an unknown, variable price, which turns out could, under the terms, be set by the other contract participant. Oops. Not the oracle's fault.
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I think the word "fault" here isn't really a useful one, I agree. Main question is do underlying spot exchanges that are often used as oracles have any real or perceived esponsibility to the community to prevent this behavior?
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If the price on kraken goes from $10k to $1 and then $10k while nowhere else moves and all margin longs on kraken itself are liquidated, would we agree that their order book malfunctioned and that something needs to change?
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Depends on the circumstances. If there was an actual malfunction, yes. But if the markets are just inefficient because some large prop firm randomly shut down, and you think there’s such a sweet arb opportunity lying around, why complain to kraken? Go ahead and take it
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That said, an exchange has responsibilities toward its own customers, so it would be in their best interest to sort things out somehow if they want to keep the margin product alive. They have zero responsibility to keep bitmex plebs happy though
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Agree. The key philosophical question I find interesting here is whether exchanges (esp those in the CME index) have any responsibility to improve the smoothness of their trading because of derivatives based on them.
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Yes exactly the point of my initial tweet. You would be more concerned w margin longs getting liqed on kraken itself v margin longs on deriv exchanges which use your data but don't compensate you. I'm not arguing that you will or should care--only that you could care.
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Right. We would be more concerned with our own markets, our own clients, our own capital. Not incentivized to care about competitors. Whether spot exchanges offering margin or lenders of any sort should have different liquidation/risk mitigation procedures is another question.
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