jerome armstrong

@jeromearmstrong

Political school of hard knocks.

NoVA, from Los Angeles
Vrijeme pridruživanja: listopad 2007.

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  1. This probably helps everyone by Sanders or Yang, who are more the male votes.

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  3. So was Peter Daou being immoral in 2016?

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 1 sat

    This guy gets it. The only path for Bloomberg is ironically for Bernie to sweep the early states (which is exactly why Bloomberg is skipping them)

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    prije 1 sat
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  6. They have the Independents pegged at 18% which is not going to be enough for Sanders. If this is correct, Sanders won't even be in 2nd place in the final vote.

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  7. "Second: Realignment considerations. 70% of those we reached told us they’ll stick around and pick another candidate if their choice doesn’t reach viability. And of those who say they intend to realign, Warren gets 20%, Klobuchar 17%, Biden 17%, Sanders 13%, and Buttigieg 10%."

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  8. Sander's negatives have climbed quite a bit, now the same as Biden.

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  9. So perplexed. David Binder & Jeff Link say there is quite a different result ahead than most expect. They don't believe the under 45 Independents are going to attend a caucus and register as Democrats for Sanders.

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 3 sata

    There is no candidate in the Democratic race as weak against Trump as McGovern was against Nixon. Look at the polling from 1972

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 3 sata

    Democrats on Twitter are more likely than Democrats *not* on Twitter to name Sanders or Warren as their preferred nominee, less likely to name Biden.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    Been writing a lot about debate over removing the President these last few weeks. Here is a quick review of some of my pieces, starting with what I think Bolton's biggest news will be - concerns about Putin's sway over Trump.

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    Elevator-pitch for 's HB 1507, which: ✅ removes all penalties for simple marijuana possession under 1 oz ✅ ends racist THC enforcement ✅ does NOT punish kids more harshly ✅ expunges people with past convictions ✅ includes hash Please RT & tag your lawmakers.

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  14. shocker will be Sanders with over 30% If not, toss-up. Both 1st vote and 2nd vote totals will be released. The winner is delegate-based so 1st vote should mean nothing. If Sanders wins the 1st, loses the 2nd, you know what will happen. That seems the most 2020ish outcome.

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  15. most delegates, etc. Below that, Sanders will fall behind in the 2nd vote and not win the Iowa caucus. Bernie’s best polls show him winning with self-identified Independents under 45 his key block. They are supposed to turn out, register as Democrats, and caucus. If so, the

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  16. There will be a surprise/shock in Iowa today; has to be. Have you been paying attention to 2020? Sanders is favored to win just slightly over Biden in the final poll numbers. The over/under for Sanders is 22% in the first vote imo. Above that, he will carry through and win the

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 13 sati

    All of our bad takes have been leading up to this day

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  18. It's good; real good. Black voters want to beat Trump more than anyone, and they are loyal to the Democratic party more than anyone, which makes for odd soup with Sanders. Gonna be quite a battle ahead. No candidates are dropping out anytime soon. Bloomy's uncertainty assures it.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 14 sati
    Odgovor korisnicima

    Here, both tweets fixed

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Had they not changed this, how many Republican Senators and Reps would have rushed to cameras by morning to insist that the Chiefs DO play in Kansas, and only the people should decide if that's untrue?

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