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jeremymenchik's profile
Jeremy Menchik
Jeremy Menchik
Jeremy Menchik
@jeremymenchik

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Jeremy Menchik

@jeremymenchik

Associate Professor at the Pardee School of Global Studies at Boston University @BUPardeeSchool @BU_Tweets. My book: http://a.co/dGZHv5m  | he/him

Boston, MA
jeremymenchik.com
Joined June 2010

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    Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

    It’s tempting to dismiss the protesters in MI, VA, TX, CA, and MN as irrelevant wakadoddles. That’s a mistake. Social science research suggests continued protests could effect the 2020 US presidential election in at least 6 ways. A thread/

    5:58 PM - 19 Apr 2020
    • 345 Retweets
    • 726 Likes
    • Chris Keller Kelby’s dad nana15 C. LaNae s Uncle Rube Re Reminder Karma Time, Bitch Marena Tedaldi
    104 replies 345 retweets 726 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Key to note: the protests aren't random. They bear the hallmarks of a right wing populist campaign: anti-elite #FireFauci, xenophobia #ChineseCoronaVirus, conspiracy (virus originated in Wuhan lab), hostility to international institutions #WHOLiedPeopleDied, coordinated w/Fox etc

        10 replies 45 retweets 202 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Some evidence suggests the protests are what scholars call an “astroturf campaign” where sponsors are masked. There’s coordinated messaging, similar websites and domains registered at the same time. In other words: may be orchestrated by Trump allies. https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/04/19/pro-gun-activists-using-facebook-groups-push-anti-quarantine-protests/ …

        12 replies 61 retweets 221 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        If the protests continue and grow, social movement scholars suggest we’ll see 6+ effects:

        1 reply 22 retweets 79 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        1- Continued protests will boost conservative turnout in Nov 2020. Tea Party events in April 2009 “led to more Republican votes in the 2010 midterm elections… .1% point increase in the share of the population protesting corresponds to 1.9% point increase in share of GOP votes.”pic.twitter.com/xFrjBkVulb

        11 replies 34 retweets 86 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        2 - Continued protests will help frame the 2020 election as a choice between the pro-open economy Trump, or the Washington insider #BeijingBiden who is complicit in China’s efforts to hurt working class Americans through the #ChineseCoronaVirus.https://youtu.be/-QoUE4Gk5PM 

        8 replies 30 retweets 68 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        This framing shapes voter behavior. Experimental research shows frames encouraging individuals to consider political problems in terms of dispositional blame prompts populist voting while encouragement to consider these same problems situationally doesn't https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/701832?journalCode=jop …

        2 replies 19 retweets 81 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        3- Continued protests will polarize the electorate. Research by McVeigh, Cunningham and Farrell (ASR 2014) demonstrates “Radical social movements can exacerbate tensions in local settings while drawing attn to how movement goals align with political party agenda.”

        2 replies 19 retweets 67 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Using county level data on the KKK, the authors show radical social movements have lasting political effects.pic.twitter.com/AexplrJP9U

        2 replies 20 retweets 62 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        4- Continued protests will distract the electorate. If the election is a fight between Trump vs Governors who refuse to open their economies, Trump doesn’t have to defend his record on COVID-19. He's an advocate for liberty!https://video.foxnews.com/v/6150594321001 

        5 replies 32 retweets 81 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        5 - Continued protests will help Trump rebuild his coalition of 2016. Scholars of digital social movements emphasize a logic of connective action not collective action; where personalized content sharing across media networks enables coalition building.https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2012.670661 …

        1 reply 25 retweets 74 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        These protests have something for everyone: small-business concerns for the working class, anti-elitism for resentful rural whites, fetishism of guns for NRA, dislike of govt for traditional conservatives. It’s a cross-cutting issue even amid a pandemic.https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/newt-gingrich-coronavirus-crisis-makes-some-leaders-believe-they-have-god-like-decision-making-capacity …

        1 reply 27 retweets 94 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        6 - Continued protests will signal a winning issue for GOP officials, who will further rally behind Trump. Research on elite perception of public opinion suggests that elected officials often fail to accurately perceive their constituent’s views.https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000011 …

        3 replies 19 retweets 62 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Protests will signal those views in such as a way as to drive elected official’s behavior, and may be especially important to politicians who have attached themselves to the president’s coattails.https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/15/republicans-trump-economy-coronavirus-186452 …

        1 reply 14 retweets 43 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        A final point. This argument will be hard to stomach for anyone aware of how the administration has handled COVID-19. Or anyone that thinks the economy shapes voter behavior. Or anyone who thinks that America’s political culture is functional.

        2 replies 17 retweets 88 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Let me suggest that this argument will be unsurprising to views of Fox who are being flooded with images and stories about the protests, how perfectly Trump has handled COVID-19 and how its a Chinese conspiracy to hurt Americans but Trump is fighting back! Take a gander:

        1 reply 21 retweets 65 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Tucker Carlson attacked MI governor Whitmer over stay at home orderhttps://video.foxnews.com/v/6150431702001 

        4 replies 11 retweets 31 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Minnesota demonstrators take stay-at-home protests to governor's residencehttps://video.foxnews.com/v/6150321268001#sp=show-clips …

        1 reply 8 retweets 28 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Jeremy Menchik Retweeted Sean Hannity

        Sean Hannity on PA protests of the lockdownshttps://twitter.com/seanhannity/status/1251512305566785536?s=20 …

        Jeremy Menchik added,

        Sean HannityVerified account @seanhannity
        Pennsylvanians Set To Protest Lockdown https://hann.it/2XKYibb 
        1 reply 5 retweets 27 likes
        Show this thread
      20. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Jeremy Menchik Retweeted Laura Ingraham

        Laura Ingraham calling for protests in VAhttps://twitter.com/IngrahamAngle/status/1251135720380653573?s=20 …

        Jeremy Menchik added,

        Laura IngrahamVerified account @IngrahamAngle
        Gov. Northam is in the process of “flattening” the livelihoods and dreams of millions of Virginians. When will residents protest and reclaim their freedom? “Gov. Northam extends business closures, calls for Virginians to adapt to 'new normal'” https://www.whsv.com/content/news/Gov-Northam-addresses-Virginia-as-COVID-19-deaths-rise-to-195-569663661.html …
        1 reply 6 retweets 28 likes
        Show this thread
      21. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Coverage of protests in MIhttps://www.foxnews.com/politics/drivers-swarm-michigan-capital-to-protest-coronavirus-lockdown-measures …

        1 reply 6 retweets 26 likes
        Show this thread
      22. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Coverage of protests in San Diego:https://www.foxnews.com/us/san-diego-protest-coronavirus-closures-beaches-walking-trails …

        1 reply 6 retweets 24 likes
        Show this thread
      23. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Protests and rallies across US call for end to coronavirus stay-at-home ordershttps://fxn.ws/2yryiaa 

        1 reply 5 retweets 21 likes
        Show this thread
      24. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        Jeremy Menchik Retweeted Michelle Malkin

        Michelle Malkin on protests in Denver:https://twitter.com/michellemalkin/status/1251951790700007424?s=20 …

        Jeremy Menchik added,

        Michelle MalkinVerified account @michellemalkin
        #reopencokorado denver https://www.pscp.tv/w/cWtIhzE1MzEwMDd8MWxQS3FWZGR2V05HYlKeSqSt4QbtoxP4vmOHBZABLxGug8-8E153iatmbv-E …
        2 replies 4 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      25. Jeremy Menchik‏ @jeremymenchik 19 Apr 2020

        I could go on, but you get the point. /fin

        18 replies 7 retweets 47 likes
        Show this thread
      26. End of conversation

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