Sounds like the B-side of #QALY
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I don't have answer, until the U.S. has fixed the problems from a lack of COVID testing & PPE. After those items are easily available, then we can properly make cost vs benefit analysis. Until then, live shouldn't get back to normal.
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What an incredibly uncomfortable and thought provoking question...I love it. It’s complicated though, how many deaths would those job losses ultimately result in is the other side of the coin.
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This is in poor taste. They're both extremely serious issues and we shouldn't make light of either. How many more suicides will we accept from lost jobs and increased social isolation?https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/suicide-leading-cause-for-over-300-lockdown-deaths-in-india-says-study/articleshow/75519279.cms …
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No one is making light. This is an EXCELLENT question for thought. The only people making light are those acting like their inability to get a haircut is a terrible tragedy.
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I think these games are a distraction - it's probably more true that the more deaths we have the more economic devastation and job loss we have. In other words history will show that death and devastation were correlated and not in opposition. Prevent death to save jobs.
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Unpopular opinion: lost jobs = lost lives, too, it's just harder to count them. Article on this topic coming soon; preparing to alienate all my followers.
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I agree that this has to be factored in. What I am saying is that no one so far has even bothered to crunch those numbers. At some point, re-opening *saves* lives, for the reason you state. I don’t think we are there yet, however.
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Not sure question is relevant. Most closed parts of economy (restaurants/tourism/sports/...) won't come back during active epidemic. Choice is: - save economy and lives (contain) - thrash economy durably while incurring 50k to 200k deaths per month for ~1 year until herd immunity
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Really good point. People mention Sweden as a country with no (forced) lockdown, but in practice their economy is shrinking too because of the behavior changes.
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Health Policy/Public Health
Director