Related, I’ve read several papers that compare “random samples” from treatment and comparison groups. The only reason I can think of to do this (rather than using the full samples) is to try to fool readers into thinking you ran an RCT.
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@jenniferdoleac are you thinking of doing a meta-analysis if the RCTs in crim lit that corrects these issues? -
Some students and I are working to re-analyze data from a few studies for the PELS relication conf this spring. But it’s been challenging to get data from study authors — unlike in econ, data from criminology papers often isn’t online.
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That was my guess (about data availability). If you need any help, I have a couple students that would be happy to help with the data search.
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Thanks! I’ll keep you posted.
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@KoehlerJA Apropos your question about the replication crises and criminology. Might be that it just hasn't hit yet.... -
Criminologists have been able to differentiate meaningful RCTs from the kinds described here for a long time, so low-quality work getting published in the first place neither bothers me as much as it seems to bother
@jenniferdoleac, nor do I think it prefigures a crisis per se -
Seconded
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I know lots of criminologist do this better —- it’s concerning mainly bc these studies still feature prominently in “what works” databases.
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Oh yes that can def be concerning
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Agreed. And having reviewed studies from other disciplines it's



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RCTs that restrict analysis to compliers are the Fools Gold Standard of causal inference..
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It seems wrong to apply randomization to tthe criminal justice system, but without it we will never get the data we need to decide which policies really work
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So public health researchers are advocates and criminologists are lousy trialists?
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I know stata gets halfway there, but I’d really love to see a package / checklist that says “put your data into this shape and I’ll run all the things you should run.” No need to reinvent the wheel every time.
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The last few years I started talking with (non-economist) criminologists about various projects and it’s honestly been eye opening how few knew about things like this (and were pretty dismissive about it, alas).
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You are getting to be a good candidate for Law School...
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Remember: just because it’s an RCT doesn’t mean results are unbiased. Read the paper.