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jenniferdoleac's profile
Jennifer Doleac
Jennifer Doleac
Jennifer Doleac
@jenniferdoleac

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Jennifer Doleac

@jenniferdoleac

Associate Professor of Economics @TAMU. Director @JusticeTechLab. Also @BrookingsEcon and @iza_bonn. I study crime & discrimination.

College Station, TX
jenniferdoleac.com
Joined August 2009

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    Jennifer Doleac‏ @jenniferdoleac 23 Dec 2018

    Jennifer Doleac Retweeted Amitabh Chandra

    I’ve spent the last couple days reading RCT studies from criminology. Almost all restrict analysis to compliers & program-completers, instead of using random assignment as treatment or IV. 🤦‍♀️ Remember: just because it’s an RCT doesn’t mean results are unbiased. Read the paper.https://twitter.com/amitabhchandra2/status/1075931428322492417 …

    Jennifer Doleac added,

    Amitabh Chandra @amitabhchandra2
    It is common for researchers to correct for imperfect adherence in a RCT with "as-treated," "per-protocol" and "on-treatment" analyses. These are all wrong, always and everywhere, because these methods reintroduce the confounding that necessitated an RCT in the first place
    Show this thread
    7:31 AM - 23 Dec 2018
    • 76 Retweets
    • 348 Likes
    • Decentralization is the New Antitrust Seth K 🏴{ [ RJ Miller ] }🏴 Alexey Guzey Surge Rachel Hodder Everard Vanderplast luke Siberian Fox
    11 replies 76 retweets 348 likes
      1. Jennifer Doleac‏ @jenniferdoleac 24 Dec 2018

        Related, I’ve read several papers that compare “random samples” from treatment and comparison groups. The only reason I can think of to do this (rather than using the full samples) is to try to fool readers into thinking you ran an RCT.

        2 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Austin L. Wright‏ @austinlwright 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        @jenniferdoleac are you thinking of doing a meta-analysis if the RCTs in crim lit that corrects these issues?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Jennifer Doleac‏ @jenniferdoleac 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @austinlwright

        Some students and I are working to re-analyze data from a few studies for the PELS relication conf this spring. But it’s been challenging to get data from study authors — unlike in econ, data from criminology papers often isn’t online.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Austin L. Wright‏ @austinlwright 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        That was my guess (about data availability). If you need any help, I have a couple students that would be happy to help with the data search.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Jennifer Doleac‏ @jenniferdoleac 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @austinlwright

        Thanks! I’ll keep you posted.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. David Skarbek‏Verified account @DavidSkarbek 24 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        @KoehlerJA Apropos your question about the replication crises and criminology. Might be that it just hasn't hit yet....

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Johann Koehler‏ @KoehlerJA 24 Dec 2018
        Replying to @DavidSkarbek @jenniferdoleac

        Criminologists have been able to differentiate meaningful RCTs from the kinds described here for a long time, so low-quality work getting published in the first place neither bothers me as much as it seems to bother @jenniferdoleac, nor do I think it prefigures a crisis per se

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Alex Sutherland‏ @_criminologist 24 Dec 2018
        Replying to @KoehlerJA @DavidSkarbek @jenniferdoleac

        Seconded

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      5. Jennifer Doleac‏ @jenniferdoleac 24 Dec 2018
        Replying to @_criminologist @KoehlerJA @DavidSkarbek

        I know lots of criminologist do this better —- it’s concerning mainly bc these studies still feature prominently in “what works” databases.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Johann Koehler‏ @KoehlerJA 24 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac @_criminologist @DavidSkarbek

        Oh yes that can def be concerning

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      7. Alex Sutherland‏ @_criminologist 24 Dec 2018
        Replying to @KoehlerJA @jenniferdoleac @DavidSkarbek

        Agreed. And having reviewed studies from other disciplines it's 😲☹️🤔🙈

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      8. End of conversation
      1. Alex Tabarrok‏ @ATabarrok 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        RCTs that restrict analysis to compliers are the Fools Gold Standard of causal inference..

        0 replies 3 retweets 44 likes
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      1. David States‏ @statesdj 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        It seems wrong to apply randomization to tthe criminal justice system, but without it we will never get the data we need to decide which policies really work

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Wes Winham‏ @weswinham 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        Wes Winham Retweeted Ross Reinhardt

        Yuuuup!https://twitter.com/rtreinhardt/status/1076544024868208641 …

        Wes Winham added,

        Ross Reinhardt @rtreinhardt
        Study finds that "Parachute use did not significantly reduce death or major injury" when jumping from an aircraft compared to participants wearing just an empty backpack https://www.bmj.com/content/363/bmj.k5094 …
        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. ProfMillennial‏ @ProfMillennial1 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        So public health researchers are advocates and criminologists are lousy trialists? 😬

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Kevin H. Wilson‏ @khayeswilson 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        I know stata gets halfway there, but I’d really love to see a package / checklist that says “put your data into this shape and I’ll run all the things you should run.” No need to reinvent the wheel every time.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Anthony Rogers‏ @anthonomics 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        The last few years I started talking with (non-economist) criminologists about various projects and it’s honestly been eye opening how few knew about things like this (and were pretty dismissive about it, alas).

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Stephen Coussens‏ @stephencoussens 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        pic.twitter.com/BC7i3LBFs5

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Wndl Bl-specified service tradesperson‏ @WndlB 23 Dec 2018
        Replying to @jenniferdoleac

        You are getting to be a good candidate for Law School...

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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