With a 45% social distancing level, the county is projecting the peak date to be June 27. The social distancing level the county is using is based on estimates prepared by Google. 2/
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Important to note- the peak refers to the estimated maximum hospital demand. Just because Mecklenburg County's peak is projected to be June 27 doesn't mean the stay at home order will be in place until then. 3/
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Here is Mecklenburg County's projection for hospital beds. On June 27: Need- 2060 Have- 2579 4/pic.twitter.com/XEOMXuJtRv
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On June 27, here is Mecklenburg County's projected demand for ICU beds: Need- 1143 Have- 283 5/pic.twitter.com/Lx2MijNMhx
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W odpowiedzi do @JoeBrunoWSOC9
There are 3,223 ICU beds in NC according the NCDHHS - how is it Meck county only has 283 for the area it serves??
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W odpowiedzi do @sistertoldjah
Good question. I will follow up on this one
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W odpowiedzi do @JoeBrunoWSOC9
Thanks - I really want to make sense of all this, but having a really hard time with it.
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W odpowiedzi do @sistertoldjah @JoeBrunoWSOC9
Congressman Dan Bishop podał/a dalej Congressman Dan Bishop
Less than 1 week earlier, using the same UPenn CHIME algorithm,
@MeckCounty projected peak hospital beds almost twice as high. So another question to ask,@JoeBrunoWSOC9: why is today’s model any more reliable than the one they just superseded? https://twitter.com/jdanbishop/status/1250453431111860224?s=21 …https://twitter.com/jdanbishop/status/1250453431111860224 …Congressman Dan Bishop dodał/a,
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W odpowiedzi do @jdanbishop @sistertoldjah
One challenging part of all of this was the county didn’t release these models until after the press conference today.
@PaigePauroso asked why that was the case- we were told they weren’t ready to be released1 odpowiedź 2 podane dalej 5 polubionych -
W odpowiedzi do to @JoeBrunoWSOC9@jdanbishop i jeszcze
(Not to mention, they've still not released all of the model inputs.)
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If the models weren’t ready to be released, then they weren’t ready for a press conference to announce the models’ projections.
Wydaje się, że ładowanie zajmuje dużo czasu.
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